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• #83 – Max Smeets on Barriers To Cyberweapons

  Max Smeets is a Senior Researcher at ETH Zurich's Center for Security Studies and Co-Director of Virtual Routes You can find links and a transcript at www.hearthisidea.com/episodes/smeets In this episode we talk about: The different types of cyber operations that a nation state might launch How international norms formed around what kind of cyber attacks are “allowed” The challenges that even elite cyber forces face What capabilities future AI systems would need to drastically change the space You can get in touch through our website or on Twitter. Consider leaving us an honest review wherever you're listening to this — it's the best free way to support the show. Thanks for listening!

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• #82 – Tom Kalil on Institutions for Innovation (with Matt Clancy)

  Tom Kalil is the CEO of Renaissance Philanthropy. He also served in the White House for two presidents (under Obama and Clinton); where he helped establish incentive prizes in government through challenge.gov; in addition to dozens of science and tech program. More recently Tom served as the Chief Innovation Officer at Schmidt Futures, where he helped launch Convergent Research. Matt Clancy is an economist and a research fellow at Open Philanthropy. He writes ‘New Things Under the Sun’, which is a living literature review on academic research about science and innovation. We talked about: What is ‘influence without authority’? Should public funders sponsor more innovation prizes? Can policy entrepreneurship be taught formally? Why isn't ultra-wealthy philanthropy much more ambitious? What's the optimistic case for increasing US state capacity? What was it like being principal staffer to Gordon Moore? What is Renaissance Philanthropy? You can get in touch through our website or on Twitter. Consider leaving us an honest review wherever you're listening to this — it's the best way to support the show. Thanks for listening!

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• #81 – Cynthia Schuck on Quantifying Animal Welfare

  Dr Cynthia Schuck-Paim is the Scientific Director of the Welfare Footprint Project, a scientific effort to quantify animal welfare to inform practice, policy, investing and purchasing decisions. You can find links and a transcript at www.hearthisidea.com/episodes/schuck. We discuss: How to begin thinking about quantifying animal experiences in a cross-comparable way Whether the ability to feel pain is unique to big brained animals, or more widespread in the tree of life How fish farming compares to poultry and livestock farming How worried to be about bird flu zoonosis Whether different animal species experience time differently Whether positive experiences like joy could make life worth living for some farmed animals How animal welfare advocates can learn from anti-corruption nonprofits You can get in touch through our website or on Twitter. Consider leaving us an honest review wherever you're listening to this — it's the best way to support the show. Thanks for listening!

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• #80 – Dan Williams on How Persuasion Works

  Dan Williams is a Lecturer in Philosophy at the University of Sussex and an Associate Fellow at the Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence (CFI) at the University of Cambridge. You can find links and a transcript at www.hearthisidea.com/episodes/williams. We discuss: If reasoning is so useful, why are we so bad at it? Do some bad ideas really work like ‘mind viruses’? Is the ‘luxury beliefs’ concept useful? What's up with the idea of a ‘marketplace for ideas’? Are people shopping for new beliefs, or to rationalise their existing attitudes? How dangerous is misinformation, really? Can we ‘vaccinate’ or ‘inoculate’ against it? Will AI help us form more accurate beliefs, or will it persuade more people of unhinged ideas? Does fact-checking work? Under transformative AI, should we worry more about the suppression or the proliferation of counter-establishment ideas? You can get in touch through our website or on Twitter. Consider leaving us an honest review wherever you're listening to this — it's the best way to support the show. Thanks for listening!

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• #79 – Tamay Besiroglu on Explosive Growth from AI

  Tamay Besiroglu is a researcher working on the intersection of economics and AI. He is currently the Associate Director of Epoch AI, a research institute investigating key trends and questions that will shape the trajectory and governance of AI. You can find links and a transcript at www.hearthisidea.com/episodes/besiroglu In this episode we talked about open source the risks and benefits of open source AI models. We talk about: The argument for explosive growth from ‘increasing returns to scale’ Does AI need to be able to automate R&D to cause rapid growth? Which theories of growth best explain the Industrial Revolution; and what do they predict from AI? What happens to human incomes under near-total job automation? Are regulations likely to slow down frontier AI progress enough to prevent this? Might AI go the way of nuclear power? Will AI hit on resource or power limits before explosive growth? Won't it run out of data first? Why aren't academic economists more interested in the prospect of explosive growth, if indeed it is so plausible? You can get in touch through our website or on Twitter. Consider leaving us an honest review wherever you're listening to this — it's the best way to support the show. Thanks for listening!

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