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Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson
Tom Nelson
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439 afleveringen

  • Tom Nelson

    Ed Hoskins: “Weather-Dependent “Renewables” | Tom Nelson Pod #435

    09-10-2026 | 56 Min.
    Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy.

    00:00 Renewables Reality Check
    02:17 Capacity Factors Since 2010
    05:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup
    08:42 Wind Drought Case Study
    11:43 Storage Costs And Scale
    13:25 Energy Return On Investment
    16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown
    17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass
    21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl
    25:01 Build Times And Lifespans
    29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity
    41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions
    46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns
    49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China
    56:06 Wrap Up And Resources

    About Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/
    https://edhoskins.substack.com/
    CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Randall Bock: “Non-scary viruses” | Tom Nelson Pod #434

    06-10-2026 | 1 u. 8 Min.
    Dr. Randall Bock, a primary-care physician and author of Overturning Zika, argues that public-health research and media often fuel panic to secure funding, citing Peter Hotez’s warnings about dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and a “lights out” U.S. yellow fever scenario. Bock says U.S. sanitation and mosquito control limit these risks and that vaccines could be ramped up quickly. He contends the 2015–16 Brazil Zika–microcephaly crisis was driven by inconsistent microcephaly definitions, weak testing, and miscounting, noting Zika later persisted without microcephaly. He criticizes Zika human challenge trials and Fauci-era spending, discusses “science under siege” rhetoric, and briefly shares cautious views on childhood vaccination timing.

    00:00 Why Non-Scary Viruses
    01:29 Who Am I
    03:09 Hotez Warning Yellow Fever
    05:46 Climate Link Tomatoes Analogy
    07:37 Yellow Fever Reality Check
    08:35 COVID Vaccine Warp Speed
    11:25 Zika Forecasts Fell Flat
    16:11 Microcephaly Counting Mess
    20:42 Vaccines and Zika Trials
    26:37 Science Under Siege Critique
    30:15 Dark Money and mRNA Push
    32:56 Mann Lawsuit and Hygiene
    35:14 Hygiene and Dengue
    36:01 McNeil and Zika Panic
    39:53 Microcephaly Metrics
    42:08 Hotez and Fauci Reboots
    44:37 Soviet Science Rhetoric
    47:53 Yellow Fever Scares
    50:12 Ghost Babies Fallout
    59:22 Vaccines Parenting Choices

    https://x.com/@DrRandallBock
    https://dailysceptic.org/2026/09/28/the-experts-are-still-trying-to-scare-us-with-non-scary-viruses/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    John Costella: “ClimateGate” #433

    02-10-2026 | 1 u. 13 Min.
    John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies.

    00:00 Meet John Costella
    00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus
    01:10 Sally Challenges Belief
    03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point
    04:34 Climategate Emails Leak
    05:53 Publishing The Email Archive
    07:54 Talks And Printed Book
    09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards
    16:02 How Long The Book Took
    17:48 Climate Science Complexity
    22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry
    31:04 Small Core Group Problem
    32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review
    36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals
    38:27 Data and Code Transparency
    39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance
    41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse
    43:19 Models and Feedback Loops
    46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method
    49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels
    52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics
    55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss
    01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers
    01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights
    01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk
    01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Links

    https://johncostella.com/
    https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf
    ClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181
    My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Stephen Andrews: “Extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” #432

    29-09-2026 | 1 u. 12 Min.
    Steve Andrews presents an “extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” for climate change, building on Svensmark and Shaviv’s idea that galactic cosmic rays influence low clouds and cooling, modulated by solar and Earth magnetic fields. Using UAH satellite temperature anomalies (1979–present), CERES, and Oulu neutron counts, he claims monthly warming-rate peaks occur near equinoxes, varies by region, and differs over land vs ocean. He links this to the Russell–McPherron effect: equinox magnetic alignment increases geomagnetic storms, solar-energy input heats and expands the thermosphere, shifting where cosmic-ray energy is dissipated, altering cloud height (higher clouds warming). He argues CO2-driven warming is unsupported, cites CERN CLOUD evidence for cloud nuclei, and suggests declining geomagnetic strength may matter.

    00:00 Steve Returns and Topic
    00:25 Feynman Quotes and Credentials
    01:19 Cosmic Ray Climate Basics
    04:13 Heliosphere and Magnetosphere
    07:50 Evidence and Correlations
    13:28 New Solar Oscillations
    16:43 Why Satellite Data Matters
    20:33 Monthly Warming Rate Method
    22:26 Equinox Peaks in Warming
    25:58 Exceptions Canada Australia
    29:33 Land Minus Ocean Signal
    32:05 Geomagnetic Storm Explanation
    35:59 Auroras and Equinox Effect
    36:20 Cloud Height Climate Lever
    36:47 Thermosphere Heating Mechanism
    39:20 Thermosphere Expansion Evidence
    40:08 Tropics and Cosmic Ray Patterns
    42:14 Climate Impact Summary
    43:40 Cloud Data and Correlations
    45:06 Challenges and Magnetic Field
    49:48 Solar Flux and Altitude Signals
    53:22 QBO Link to Solar Cycles
    56:38 Satellite Cloud Height Trends
    59:12 Long Records and Big Claims
    01:03:43 Renewables Cost Anecdote
    01:05:47 Q and A CERN and Aerosols
    01:11:39 Closing Remarks

    Stephen Andrews Substack: https://substack.com/@stephen938
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Cohler/Soon: “ Response to Ed Berry’s recent presentation” #431

    25-09-2026 | 45 Min.
    Jonathan Cohler, joined by Willie Soon, says he is correcting false statements Ed Berry made about their paper “Dominance of Natural Atmospheric CO2 Dynamics,” which is under review and posted online. Cohler argues Berry wrongly claimed they ignored Berry’s work, presented an identical delta-14C “proof,” and called for a carbon-cycle model; Cohler says they cited Berry prominently and used newer radiocarbon data (Hua et al. 2022) and Koutsoyiannis 2024. They distinguish residence time (~3.8 years) from radiocarbon relaxation time (~18.4 years), claim a bridge equation links them, and assert their new work mathematically refutes Bern multi-exponential/adjustment-time models. They also discuss conflicts with the CO2 Coalition over attributing CO2 rise to humans.

    00:00 Why This Rebuttal
    01:23 Berry Claims Overview
    03:16 New Radiocarbon Data
    05:19 Lie One Citation Record
    07:33 Lie Two Not Identical
    10:00 Lie Three No Model Needed
    12:34 Why Skip Berry 2023
    13:16 Residence vs Relaxation
    15:57 Bridge Equation Results
    17:20 Math Theorems Against Bern
    18:29 Independent Checks and Implications
    21:38 Host Q and IPCC Confusion
    22:49 Soon on Adjustment Time Myth
    24:55 Table Consensus and Bern Failure
    26:25 Bomb 14C Reality Check
    27:30 Why Bomb Tests Matter
    28:19 Ethics And Accusations
    29:27 Data Driven Challenge
    31:08 CO2 Coalition Split
    33:32 Math Not Debate
    36:55 Ugly Email Wars
    40:01 Science Over Ego
    42:52 Searchers Versus Blockers
    43:22 Passing The Torch
    45:08 Final Thanks And Goodbye

    https://x.com/cohler
    https://papers.jcohler.com/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
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Over Tom Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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