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Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson
Tom Nelson
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433 afleveringen

  • Tom Nelson

    Ed Berry: “Nature Controls the CO2 Level” #429

    18-09-2026 | 59 Min.
    Ed Berry presents a step-by-step, nontechnical overview of his theoretical climate physics work, arguing that “consensus” and authority claims are not science and that climate policy relies on three assumptions, focusing on A1: humans caused all the CO2 rise. He says A1 depends on a false sub-assumption that human CO2 stays longer than natural CO2, proposing a “climate equivalence principle” that identical molecules behave the same. Using IPCC carbon-cycle data and a linear systems model, he derives an atmospheric e-time of ~3.5 years and estimates human CO2 contributes only a few percent, supported by delta-14C and temperature-leading-CO2 studies. He also discusses climate lawsuits (including Held v. Montana), political influence, and criticism of DOE/CO2 Coalition positions.

    00:00 Meet Ed Berry
    00:53 From Clouds to Climate
    01:49 Why Consensus Fails
    03:11 Scientific Method Basics
    05:16 Three Climate Assumptions
    06:55 Debunking CO2 Lifetime Claim
    08:35 Climate Equivalence Principle
    09:21 IPCC Carbon Cycle Data
    12:48 Flows and Human Share
    14:11 Building a Carbon Model
    16:26 E-Time and Linearity
    19:40 Deriving Balance Levels
    21:30 Finding IPCC E-Times
    25:02 Human vs Natural CO2 Split
    27:21 What 420 ppm Implies
    27:58 Systems Model Math
    29:29 Partitioning Human CO2
    31:37 IPCC Cycle Contradiction
    34:24 Courtney Endorsement
    35:45 Delta 14C Evidence
    39:33 Interpreting Bomb Curve
    42:09 Temperature Leads CO2
    44:21 Proofs Summary
    48:29 Montana Lawsuit Setup
    50:51 WEF Influence Claims
    52:11 DOE Report Problem
    53:19 Koonin And CO2C Critique
    56:48 Group Positions Wrap
    57:48 Q&A And Closing

    https://edberry.com/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Will Wilkinson on his Will Happer biography: “Standing Up for Science” #428

    11-09-2026 | 54 Min.
    Will Wilkinson discusses a biography he was hired to write about Princeton physicist William Happer, combining four chapters of life story with a climate-focused second half arguing science has been politicized. He describes Happer’s decades-long career, including inventing the sodium laser guide star for missile defense and work adapted for medical lung imaging, plus Happer’s “trust and verify” approach and skepticism of models over measurements. They cover Happer’s CO2 Coalition role, controversy at Princeton, colleagues’ contributions (e.g., Lindzen, Koonin, Ridd), and comparisons to Lysenkoism and past scientific dissent. The author stresses curiosity, civil communication, and avoiding fear-driven climate hysteria.

    00:00 Meet Will Wilkinson
    00:27 Writing Happer Biography
    01:45 Happer Science Legacy
    02:42 Climate Views Adaptation
    03:29 Laser Guide Star Explained
    05:12 Trust and Verify Mindset
    06:04 Princeton Controversy
    07:14 Famous Colleagues Stories
    09:18 Childhood and Formation
    10:58 Standing Up for Science
    13:28 Lysenkoism and Dogma
    16:38 Outsiders and Discovery
    21:15 Curiosity and Measuring
    23:25 CO2 Politics and Money
    24:45 Book Release and Coalition
    25:43 Rogan Episode and Outreach
    27:07 Documentary and Prior Bio
    28:33 Reluctant Scientist Profile
    30:10 Working Life at Princeton
    31:05 Red Team Blue Team Fallout
    32:01 Middle Ground Climate Debate
    34:46 Colleagues and Reef Controversy
    37:29 Skepticism After COVID
    41:38 Single Source of Truth Quotes
    44:24 Kindness Over Division
    48:41 Hope Against Climate Hysteria
    50:23 Meaningful Memoirs and AI
    54:04 Wrap Up and Thanks

    Will Wilkinson’s web site: https://www.meaningfulmemoirs.com/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Jonathan Cohler: “ Fossil fuel combustion drove essentially none of the atmospheric CO2 growth” #427

    08-09-2026 | 1 u. 14 Min.
    Jonathan Cohler presents a newly submitted paper using mass conservation, isotopic signatures (delta 13C), and multiple datasets to apply the Keeling relation and infer a consistent intercept near -13.2‰ across sites and time spans. He argues this makes fossil fuels (signature ~-28‰) at most 26% of net atmospheric CO2 change and, using preindustrial constraints, essentially ~0–1.3%, contradicting claims by IPCC, NASA, NOAA, EPA, and the CO2 Coalition. He says CO2 residence time is ~3.8 years and attributes rising CO2 to natural temperature-driven ocean/soil outgassing. He criticizes the CO2 Coalition for conflating accounting identities with causation, describes harassment, and says he resigned.

    00:00 New Paper Claim
    01:29 Three Inputs Setup
    03:25 Isotope Signatures 101
    06:05 Keeling Relation Explained
    10:17 Datasets And Intercepts
    13:38 Solving For Fossil Fraction
    22:22 Why Fossil Dominance Fails
    25:16 Rejecting The Conclusion
    28:04 Carbon Cycle Turnover
    31:45 What Drives CO2 Rise
    33:56 Ancient CO2 And Whataboutism
    36:53 CO2 Coalition Errors Teaser
    37:38 Accounting vs Causation
    39:23 Feynman on Conservation
    40:37 What Proves Causality
    41:37 Atmospheric Balance Equation
    42:53 Coalition Paper Misreads
    46:25 Molecules Not Labeled
    48:08 Residuals Aren't Attribution
    49:56 Isotopes Discriminate Sources
    51:27 Airborne Fraction Fallacy
    53:41 Retention and Cycle Time
    56:02 Harassment and Resignation
    01:03:18 CO2 Forcing and Policy Costs
    01:08:51 X Feedback and Contact
    01:13:38 Wrap Up and Links

    https://x.com/cohler
    https://papers.jcohler.com/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    James Tooley: “ You don't need government for education” #426

    04-09-2026 | 51 Min.
    James Tooley describes two decades researching “low-cost private schools” serving poor families in India, Africa, rural China, and war-torn countries, arguing parents choose them because government/public schools often abandon children. He cites widespread enrollment (e.g., majorities in parts of Lagos and Kampala), higher standardized test performance, no gender bias, affordability around 10% of family spending, and sustainability as small businesses. He now finds a similar U.S. phenomenon in hybrid/micro schools, visiting examples in Pine Ridge (Onward Learning), rural Mississippi, refugee-serving Clarkston, and rural Oregon, and surveying 5,390 parents: about 4% use low-tuition private schools. He discusses limited, careful roles for philanthropy, and worries about dependence on government ESAs.

    00:00 Meet James Tooley
    01:03 Hyderabad Discovery
    03:25 Government School Reality
    05:37 Makoko Lagos Expedition
    07:49 Kibera Ghana China Proof
    11:49 Beautiful Tree Thesis
    13:04 War Torn Africa Schools
    15:48 Five Key Features
    21:06 Federations And Pushback
    22:02 Low Cost Schools In America
    25:53 Pine Ridge Onward Learning
    29:46 Mississippi Trailer School
    33:19 Refugees And Oregon Example
    36:08 National Survey Findings
    41:45 Philanthropy And Donations
    43:26 Quality Assurance Debate
    46:33 School Choice ESA Concerns
    49:57 Where To Follow James
    50:46 Final Reflections

    The Beautiful Tree: https://a.co/d/032zFHgW
    Really Good Schools: Global Lessons for High-Caliber, Low-Cost Education: https://a.co/d/01VMoY3r
    https://x.com/james_tooley
    https://uk.linkedin.com/in/james-tooley-320a8410
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Tom Harris: “Pushing back against climate hysteria in Canada” #425

    01-09-2026 | 58 Min.
    Tom Harris argues Canada’s claim of warming twice the global average is unreliable because northern data coverage is sparse and “homogenized” station adjustments may exaggerate trends. He questions the meaning of average temperature and says Canada’s record shows a step change around 1998, consistent with El Niño and possibly the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, not steady greenhouse-gas forcing. He cites extreme-weather records peaking in the 1930s and references Heartland’s Climate Change Reconsidered and Roger Pielke’s datasets as showing little detected change in many extremes. Harris then describes organizing local activists, using Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals, rehearsing questions, and bypassing media censorship to challenge municipal climate policies.

    00:00 Meet Tom Harris
    00:19 Canada Warming Claims
    00:41 Is Warming Bad
    03:21 So Called Averages
    05:13 Overlapping Ranges
    08:06 Why Start 1948
    11:08 Heat Records Evidence
    11:54 Sparse Arctic Stations
    14:39 Homogenized Adjustments
    17:00 Step Change Not CO2
    18:57 Hickey Speaks Out
    21:59 Natural Cycles Theory
    22:59 PR Versus Evidence
    24:22 Extreme Weather Database
    25:56 Heartland Reports
    28:32 Warmer Means Milder
    31:07 Pielke Teaser
    31:19 Global Extremes Database
    31:51 P Factor Explained
    32:30 Translator Not Climatologist
    33:33 Drilling Into Continents
    34:48 Wildfire History Context
    37:23 Heatwave Data Concerns
    38:31 Local Activism Playbook
    40:06 Alinsky Rules In Action
    42:49 Debate Questions And Ridicule
    47:16 Training Volunteers Nationwide
    51:59 Beating Media Censorship
    53:55 Groups Funding And Contact
    56:17 Practice Sessions And Wins
    57:43 Wrap Up Resources

     icsc-canada.com
     sensiblechange.ca
    https://x.com/TomHarrisICSC
    https://drtomharris.substack.com/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
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Over Tom Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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