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Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson
Tom Nelson
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441 afleveringen

  • Tom Nelson

    Iain Davis: “The Technocratic Dark State” | Tom Nelson Pod #437

    16-10-2026 | 1 u. 7 Min.
    Iain Davis discusses his book The Technocratic Dark State, arguing Silicon Valley oligarchs (e.g., Thiel, Musk, Andreessen, Altman, Ellison) steer policy toward a tokenized “everything” economy, including natural assets, carbon markets, and a vastly expanded paper valuation. He says climate narratives may be rebranded across political demographics to sell the same goal: technocratic digital control via programmable money, digital identity, AI-driven surveillance, and BIS-led cross-border “interoperable” payment standards. Davis warns censorship will shift from speech to “reach,” citing the UK Online Safety Act and arrests for online comments, and describes “everything apps,” biometrics-based payments, and geo-fenced spending as tools for automated compliance and fines. He contends surveillance is already pervasive through devices and apps, and says adoption is ultimately a public choice.

    00:00 Meet Iain Davis
    00:11 Silicon Valley and Trump
    03:10 Tokenizing Everything
    05:18 Carbon Markets and Nature
    08:39 Climate Narrative Rebrand
    10:51 Digital Control Pitch
    12:51 Free Speech and Shadowbans
    16:04 Online Safety and Censorship
    20:31 X as Everything App
    23:05 Crisis Pressure and Control
    28:04 Debt and Tokenized Assets
    32:03 Stablecoins and New Rails
    33:49 Programmable Money Interop
    35:51 BIS Controls Standards
    37:49 Bitcoin as Reserve Asset
    41:13 Programmable Money Fears
    42:12 AI Data Lake Control
    46:31 Robots and Adoption Incentives
    50:54 Mass Surveillance Reality
    56:05 Face Pay and Auto Fines
    58:45 Digital ID Skepticism
    01:02:07 Agentic State Explained
    01:06:15 Wrap Up and Choice

    https://iaindavis.com/
    https://www.ukcolumn.org/writer/iain-davis
    https://x.com/_InThisTogether
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Paul Burgess: “An explanation of climate change, pure and simple” | Tom Nelson Pod #436

    13-10-2026 | 55 Min.
    Paul Burgess presents his “Oceanic Index” model of climate change, arguing oceans regulate low cloud cover that acts as Earth’s thermostat, explaining satellite-era temperatures (1982–2025) with high accuracy and extending the approach back using proxies. He accepts anthropogenic CO2 and a direct ECS near 1–1.2°C per doubling, estimating about 0.6°C warming from CO2 since 1850, but rejects IPCC feedbacks and says a ~2.4% reduction in low clouds can account for additional warming, consistent with CERES radiation data where ocean changes lead cloud changes and then temperature. He discusses mechanisms from meteorology (marine inversion changes), historical periods (Little Ice Age, Roman/Medieval warmth) as largely natural, critiques temperature records and climate messaging, and briefly comments on Lindzen’s iris effect and energy policy debates.

    00:00 Cloud Thermostat Intro
    01:25 Oceanic Index Basics
    03:16 What I Accept
    04:45 Out of Sample Proof
    06:00 ECS Debate Explained
    07:32 Ocean Cloud Mechanism
    09:16 CERES Sunshade Evidence
    12:59 Small Cloud Drop Big Warming
    14:26 Back to 1695
    16:34 Holocene Lessons
    17:40 Oceans Through Minima
    20:57 Warm Periods Without CO2
    22:03 Mediterranean Cloud Check
    24:51 Extending Index to 1800s
    28:02 Connolly Adjustment Fit
    29:49 El Nino 1870s Peak
    30:55 El Niño Context
    31:22 ECS Assumptions
    31:52 Clouds Fill The Gap
    33:32 Feedback Claim Rebuttal
    34:57 Frozen Formula Validation
    36:02 CERES Versus IPCC
    38:04 Scorecard Evidence
    40:12 Cloud Mechanism Explained
    41:07 Kid Friendly Ocean Cycle
    44:21 Alarmism And Propaganda
    50:49 Iris Effect Question
    52:40 Net Zero Cost Reality
    55:27 Closing Thoughts

    Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism
    Main paper: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/how-the-sun-via-the-oceans-controls
    The paper on comparing the  Mediterranean study: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/a-mediterranean-study-of-the-effect
    The Paper On The  Holocene as far as LIA: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/holocene-to-the-little-ice-age-a
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Ed Hoskins: “Weather-Dependent “Renewables” | Tom Nelson Pod #435

    09-10-2026 | 56 Min.
    Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy.

    00:00 Renewables Reality Check
    02:17 Capacity Factors Since 2010
    05:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup
    08:42 Wind Drought Case Study
    11:43 Storage Costs And Scale
    13:25 Energy Return On Investment
    16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown
    17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass
    21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl
    25:01 Build Times And Lifespans
    29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity
    41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions
    46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns
    49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China
    56:06 Wrap Up And Resources

    About Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/
    https://edhoskins.substack.com/
    CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Randall Bock: “Non-scary viruses” | Tom Nelson Pod #434

    06-10-2026 | 1 u. 8 Min.
    Dr. Randall Bock, a primary-care physician and author of Overturning Zika, argues that public-health research and media often fuel panic to secure funding, citing Peter Hotez’s warnings about dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and a “lights out” U.S. yellow fever scenario. Bock says U.S. sanitation and mosquito control limit these risks and that vaccines could be ramped up quickly. He contends the 2015–16 Brazil Zika–microcephaly crisis was driven by inconsistent microcephaly definitions, weak testing, and miscounting, noting Zika later persisted without microcephaly. He criticizes Zika human challenge trials and Fauci-era spending, discusses “science under siege” rhetoric, and briefly shares cautious views on childhood vaccination timing.

    00:00 Why Non-Scary Viruses
    01:29 Who Am I
    03:09 Hotez Warning Yellow Fever
    05:46 Climate Link Tomatoes Analogy
    07:37 Yellow Fever Reality Check
    08:35 COVID Vaccine Warp Speed
    11:25 Zika Forecasts Fell Flat
    16:11 Microcephaly Counting Mess
    20:42 Vaccines and Zika Trials
    26:37 Science Under Siege Critique
    30:15 Dark Money and mRNA Push
    32:56 Mann Lawsuit and Hygiene
    35:14 Hygiene and Dengue
    36:01 McNeil and Zika Panic
    39:53 Microcephaly Metrics
    42:08 Hotez and Fauci Reboots
    44:37 Soviet Science Rhetoric
    47:53 Yellow Fever Scares
    50:12 Ghost Babies Fallout
    59:22 Vaccines Parenting Choices

    https://x.com/@DrRandallBock
    https://dailysceptic.org/2026/09/28/the-experts-are-still-trying-to-scare-us-with-non-scary-viruses/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    John Costella: “ClimateGate” #433

    02-10-2026 | 1 u. 13 Min.
    John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies.

    00:00 Meet John Costella
    00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus
    01:10 Sally Challenges Belief
    03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point
    04:34 Climategate Emails Leak
    05:53 Publishing The Email Archive
    07:54 Talks And Printed Book
    09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards
    16:02 How Long The Book Took
    17:48 Climate Science Complexity
    22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry
    31:04 Small Core Group Problem
    32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review
    36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals
    38:27 Data and Code Transparency
    39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance
    41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse
    43:19 Models and Feedback Loops
    46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method
    49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels
    52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics
    55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss
    01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers
    01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights
    01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk
    01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Links

    https://johncostella.com/
    https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf
    ClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181
    My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
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Over Tom Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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