441 afleveringen
- David Burton argues recent warming (~1.25°C since 1870) is small and often overstated, while CO2 benefits crops and ecosystems by boosting growth and water efficiency, reducing famine risk alongside fossil-fuel-based nitrogen fertilizer. He says storm and sea-level data show little acceleration, citing linear long-term tide-gauge records like Honolulu and noting local land motion dominates. His paper discusses multiple CO2 “lifetimes”: turnover (3–5 years), bomb-spike radiocarbon (~20 years), and the climate-relevant adjustment time he estimates at ~55±10 years, with a long tail he deems currently unimportant. He criticizes IPCC “cumulative emissions/TCRE” and “carbon budget” concepts as unphysical, analyzes direct waste heat as negligible (~52–58 days), and promotes his sealevel.info tools and archived Climategate emails.
00:00 Meet David Burton
00:23 How Much Warming Really
02:04 Ice Ages And Freezing Thresholds
03:06 CO2 Greening And Crop Gains
05:28 Famine History And Fertilizer
07:48 Storms Tornadoes And Sea Level
11:00 Paper Overview CO2 Lifetimes
11:55 Turnover Bomb Spike Adjustment
14:31 Cumulative Emissions Myth
15:38 Heat Pulse Lifetime
19:45 Suess Effect Carbon14 Confusion
27:03 Why CO2 Rises Negative Feedbacks
30:03 Linear Removal Rate And Limits
34:14 Why Plant Uptake Stays Linear
35:30 CO2 Boosts Crop Yields
37:03 Airborne Fraction Myth
39:16 Emissions Plateau Math
42:14 Long Tail Lifespan Debate
43:40 Cumulative Emissions Critique
48:49 Carbon Budget Pushback
50:50 How Long Heat Lasts
55:10 Where to Find More
56:39 Sea Level Tools vs NOAA
01:01:05 Climategate Archive Access
01:02:56 Ocean Chemistry and Carbonate
01:08:08 Climate Industry FUD Wrap
https://co2coalition.org/teammember/david-burton/
ClimateGate emails on Dave’s site: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1916076156371058904
Watts Up With That article on Dave’s site: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/21/new-website-gives-you-the-real-deal-on-sea-level-rise-and-rates/
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1 - Chuck Weiss presents his background in atmospheric science, meteorology, aviation, and inventing the Windicator, then argues Oregon universities and public schools promote a politicized “climate crisis” despite Oregon’s small share of global emissions. He defines the greenhouse effect as a radiation-flux difference and claims water vapor and clouds dominate radiative processes while CO2 mainly cools the troposphere and has negligible warming influence, especially over oceans. He argues convection and the hydrologic cycle negate CO2 effects, climate models fail due to grid-resolution and energy-tracking limits, and key predictions (e.g., tropical mid-troposphere “hotspot”) conflict with balloon/satellite data. He attributes recent warming to declining albedo, alleges temperature-data manipulation, disputes extreme-weather and Arctic-ice claims, and criticizes green-energy policies as costly and ineffective.
00:00 Meet Chuck Weiss
00:25 Credentials and Forecasting Wins
02:34 Aviation Career Highlights
03:08 Why He Challenges CO2 Theory
04:38 Oregon Climate Politics Critique
07:39 Schools and Climate Indoctrination
09:19 Defining the Greenhouse Effect
12:00 Greenhouse Gases Spectrum Breakdown
16:51 Why Greenhouse Gases Cool Air
18:49 Water Vapor Drives Convection
22:50 Clouds Cancel CO2 Warming
24:53 Ocean Absorption Reality Check
27:14 How Climate Models Work
31:48 Model Predictions vs Observations
36:04 Hotspot Failure in Mid Troposphere
39:01 Temperature Data Adjustments
42:00 Satellite Record Teaser
42:17 Satellite Warming Pause
43:41 Albedo Drives Warming
44:37 Radiative Forcing Critique
48:37 Hansen CO2 Claims
50:13 Emissions vs CO2 Rise
52:14 CO2 Cycle and E-Time
55:59 Severe Weather Myth
01:01:45 Trenberth Missing Heat
01:03:03 Arctic Ice Reality Check
01:04:58 Fake Crisis Wrap-Up
01:06:56 Why Climate Models Fail
01:09:29 AI and Turbulence Talk
01:14:46 Flying in Heat and Cold
01:17:41 Final Policy Takeaway
Chuck Wiese’s Critique of the 6th Oregon Climate assessment: https://edberry.com/critique-of-the-6th-oregon-climate-assessment/
More at Ed Berry’s site here: https://edberry.com/?s=wiese
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1 - Iain Davis discusses his book The Technocratic Dark State, arguing Silicon Valley oligarchs (e.g., Thiel, Musk, Andreessen, Altman, Ellison) steer policy toward a tokenized “everything” economy, including natural assets, carbon markets, and a vastly expanded paper valuation. He says climate narratives may be rebranded across political demographics to sell the same goal: technocratic digital control via programmable money, digital identity, AI-driven surveillance, and BIS-led cross-border “interoperable” payment standards. Davis warns censorship will shift from speech to “reach,” citing the UK Online Safety Act and arrests for online comments, and describes “everything apps,” biometrics-based payments, and geo-fenced spending as tools for automated compliance and fines. He contends surveillance is already pervasive through devices and apps, and says adoption is ultimately a public choice.
00:00 Meet Iain Davis
00:11 Silicon Valley and Trump
03:10 Tokenizing Everything
05:18 Carbon Markets and Nature
08:39 Climate Narrative Rebrand
10:51 Digital Control Pitch
12:51 Free Speech and Shadowbans
16:04 Online Safety and Censorship
20:31 X as Everything App
23:05 Crisis Pressure and Control
28:04 Debt and Tokenized Assets
32:03 Stablecoins and New Rails
33:49 Programmable Money Interop
35:51 BIS Controls Standards
37:49 Bitcoin as Reserve Asset
41:13 Programmable Money Fears
42:12 AI Data Lake Control
46:31 Robots and Adoption Incentives
50:54 Mass Surveillance Reality
56:05 Face Pay and Auto Fines
58:45 Digital ID Skepticism
01:02:07 Agentic State Explained
01:06:15 Wrap Up and Choice
https://iaindavis.com/
https://www.ukcolumn.org/writer/iain-davis
https://x.com/_InThisTogether
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1 Paul Burgess: “An explanation of climate change, pure and simple” | Tom Nelson Pod #436
13-10-2026 | 55 Min.Paul Burgess presents his “Oceanic Index” model of climate change, arguing oceans regulate low cloud cover that acts as Earth’s thermostat, explaining satellite-era temperatures (1982–2025) with high accuracy and extending the approach back using proxies. He accepts anthropogenic CO2 and a direct ECS near 1–1.2°C per doubling, estimating about 0.6°C warming from CO2 since 1850, but rejects IPCC feedbacks and says a ~2.4% reduction in low clouds can account for additional warming, consistent with CERES radiation data where ocean changes lead cloud changes and then temperature. He discusses mechanisms from meteorology (marine inversion changes), historical periods (Little Ice Age, Roman/Medieval warmth) as largely natural, critiques temperature records and climate messaging, and briefly comments on Lindzen’s iris effect and energy policy debates.
00:00 Cloud Thermostat Intro
01:25 Oceanic Index Basics
03:16 What I Accept
04:45 Out of Sample Proof
06:00 ECS Debate Explained
07:32 Ocean Cloud Mechanism
09:16 CERES Sunshade Evidence
12:59 Small Cloud Drop Big Warming
14:26 Back to 1695
16:34 Holocene Lessons
17:40 Oceans Through Minima
20:57 Warm Periods Without CO2
22:03 Mediterranean Cloud Check
24:51 Extending Index to 1800s
28:02 Connolly Adjustment Fit
29:49 El Nino 1870s Peak
30:55 El Niño Context
31:22 ECS Assumptions
31:52 Clouds Fill The Gap
33:32 Feedback Claim Rebuttal
34:57 Frozen Formula Validation
36:02 CERES Versus IPCC
38:04 Scorecard Evidence
40:12 Cloud Mechanism Explained
41:07 Kid Friendly Ocean Cycle
44:21 Alarmism And Propaganda
50:49 Iris Effect Question
52:40 Net Zero Cost Reality
55:27 Closing Thoughts
Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism
Main paper: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/how-the-sun-via-the-oceans-controls
The paper on comparing the Mediterranean study: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/a-mediterranean-study-of-the-effect
The Paper On The Holocene as far as LIA: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/holocene-to-the-little-ice-age-a
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1- Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy.
00:00 Renewables Reality Check
02:17 Capacity Factors Since 2010
05:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup
08:42 Wind Drought Case Study
11:43 Storage Costs And Scale
13:25 Energy Return On Investment
16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown
17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass
21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl
25:01 Build Times And Lifespans
29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity
41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions
46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns
49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China
56:06 Wrap Up And Resources
About Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/
https://edhoskins.substack.com/
CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/
=========
Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
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