Tom Nelson

Jonathan Cohler presents a newly submitted paper using mass conservation, isotopic signatures (delta 13C), and multiple datasets to apply the Keeling relation and infer a consistent intercept near -13.2‰ across sites and time spans. He argues this makes fossil fuels (signature ~-28‰) at most 26% of net atmospheric CO2 change and, using preindustrial constraints, essentially ~0–1.3%, contradicting claims by IPCC, NASA, NOAA, EPA, and the CO2 Coalition. He says CO2 residence time is ~3.8 years and attributes rising CO2 to natural temperature-driven ocean/soil outgassing. He criticizes the CO2 Coalition for conflating accounting identities with causation, describes harassment, and says he resigned.

00:00 New Paper Claim
01:29 Three Inputs Setup
03:25 Isotope Signatures 101
06:05 Keeling Relation Explained
10:17 Datasets And Intercepts
13:38 Solving For Fossil Fraction
22:22 Why Fossil Dominance Fails
25:16 Rejecting The Conclusion
28:04 Carbon Cycle Turnover
31:45 What Drives CO2 Rise
33:56 Ancient CO2 And Whataboutism
36:53 CO2 Coalition Errors Teaser
37:38 Accounting vs Causation
39:23 Feynman on Conservation
40:37 What Proves Causality
41:37 Atmospheric Balance Equation
42:53 Coalition Paper Misreads
46:25 Molecules Not Labeled
48:08 Residuals Aren't Attribution
49:56 Isotopes Discriminate Sources
51:27 Airborne Fraction Fallacy
53:41 Retention and Cycle Time
56:02 Harassment and Resignation
01:03:18 CO2 Forcing and Policy Costs
01:08:51 X Feedback and Contact
01:13:38 Wrap Up and Links

https://x.com/cohler
https://papers.jcohler.com/
=========
Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

James Tooley describes two decades researching “low-cost private schools” serving poor families in India, Africa, rural China, and war-torn countries, arguing parents choose them because government/public schools often abandon children. He cites widespread enrollment (e.g., majorities in parts of Lagos and Kampala), higher standardized test performance, no gender bias, affordability around 10% of family spending, and sustainability as small businesses. He now finds a similar U.S. phenomenon in hybrid/micro schools, visiting examples in Pine Ridge (Onward Learning), rural Mississippi, refugee-serving Clarkston, and rural Oregon, and surveying 5,390 parents: about 4% use low-tuition private schools. He discusses limited, careful roles for philanthropy, and worries about dependence on government ESAs.

00:00 Meet James Tooley
01:03 Hyderabad Discovery
03:25 Government School Reality
05:37 Makoko Lagos Expedition
07:49 Kibera Ghana China Proof
11:49 Beautiful Tree Thesis
13:04 War Torn Africa Schools
15:48 Five Key Features
21:06 Federations And Pushback
22:02 Low Cost Schools In America
25:53 Pine Ridge Onward Learning
29:46 Mississippi Trailer School
33:19 Refugees And Oregon Example
36:08 National Survey Findings
41:45 Philanthropy And Donations
43:26 Quality Assurance Debate
46:33 School Choice ESA Concerns
49:57 Where To Follow James
50:46 Final Reflections

The Beautiful Tree: https://a.co/d/032zFHgW
Really Good Schools: Global Lessons for High-Caliber, Low-Cost Education: https://a.co/d/01VMoY3r
https://x.com/james_tooley
https://uk.linkedin.com/in/james-tooley-320a8410
=========
Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Tom Harris argues Canada’s claim of warming twice the global average is unreliable because northern data coverage is sparse and “homogenized” station adjustments may exaggerate trends. He questions the meaning of average temperature and says Canada’s record shows a step change around 1998, consistent with El Niño and possibly the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, not steady greenhouse-gas forcing. He cites extreme-weather records peaking in the 1930s and references Heartland’s Climate Change Reconsidered and Roger Pielke’s datasets as showing little detected change in many extremes. Harris then describes organizing local activists, using Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals, rehearsing questions, and bypassing media censorship to challenge municipal climate policies.

00:00 Meet Tom Harris
00:19 Canada Warming Claims
00:41 Is Warming Bad
03:21 So Called Averages
05:13 Overlapping Ranges
08:06 Why Start 1948
11:08 Heat Records Evidence
11:54 Sparse Arctic Stations
14:39 Homogenized Adjustments
17:00 Step Change Not CO2
18:57 Hickey Speaks Out
21:59 Natural Cycles Theory
22:59 PR Versus Evidence
24:22 Extreme Weather Database
25:56 Heartland Reports
28:32 Warmer Means Milder
31:07 Pielke Teaser
31:19 Global Extremes Database
31:51 P Factor Explained
32:30 Translator Not Climatologist
33:33 Drilling Into Continents
34:48 Wildfire History Context
37:23 Heatwave Data Concerns
38:31 Local Activism Playbook
40:06 Alinsky Rules In Action
42:49 Debate Questions And Ridicule
47:16 Training Volunteers Nationwide
51:59 Beating Media Censorship
53:55 Groups Funding And Contact
56:17 Practice Sessions And Wins
57:43 Wrap Up Resources

 icsc-canada.com
 sensiblechange.ca
https://x.com/TomHarrisICSC
https://drtomharris.substack.com/
=========
Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Dai Ato presents findings from three papers arguing atmospheric CO2 rise is largely natural, claiming multivariate analyses reject human emissions as a significant predictor of annual CO2 increases while sea surface temperature (SST) is significant. He says detrended annual-change comparisons show emissions vs CO2 change has near-zero correlation, while SST retains moderate correlation, consistent with CO2 solubility in water. He also claims ice-core CO2 reconstructions are incorrect and that temperature leads specific humidity, rejecting CO2–water vapor positive feedback; absorbed shortwave and total solar irradiance correlate with SST while CO2 is negligible or negative. In Q&A, he expects the Keeling Curve to keep rising, COVID emission drops to have little effect, and rejects a stable 280 ppm preindustrial CO2.

00:00 Intro And Agenda
00:39 Three Paper Overview
04:01 CO2 Rise Not Human
07:05 Detrending Spurious Links
10:33 Water Vapor Feedback Tested
13:19 Solar And Albedo Drivers
17:12 Past Evidence SST Leads
21:50 Global Temperature Averaging
23:58 Key Takeaways And DOE
26:04 Why I Wrote These Papers
33:06 Ice Core Reconstruction Issues
34:17 Closing Thoughts And Q&A

https://x.com/info45037254
=========
Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Ron Clutz continues a three-part framework on climate change: humans cause warming, warming is dangerous, and government can stop it. He argues observed warming can be explained by post–Little Ice Age recovery plus multidecadal oscillations and solar-orbital effects, and says “alarmists” deny these. He describes a taxpayer-funded “climate scare machine” and cites a Climate Change Business Journal estimate of a $3.4T/year global climate industry. Using Joseph D’Aleo’s materials, he disputes claims about heatwaves, storms, droughts, wildfires, ice loss, ocean acidification, health, and food, then focuses on Arctic sea ice cycles and sea-level model projections versus tide gauges. He stresses climate is local (Köppen zones) and says climate policies are wasteful, ineffective, and harmful, citing project failures, costs, and energy poverty.

00:00 Framework Recap
01:07 Natural Warming Factors
03:56 Climate Scare Machine
07:59 Eleven Empty Claims
13:56 Polar Bears and Sea Ice
20:00 Sea Level Scare Tactics
28:27 Climates Are Local
35:13 Warming Impacts Summary
35:59 Can Governments Stop It
37:56 Energy Transition Reality
40:19 Why Hydrocarbons Rule
42:06 Energy Mix Big Picture
43:47 Trillions Visualized
45:22 Waste One Missing Funds
45:59 Waste Two Project Failures
48:35 Waste Three Blade Graveyards
49:13 Waste Four Operational Collapse
50:18 Hydrogen And Biofuels
51:32 Fear Sells Climate Policy
53:06 Policy Weapons And Results
55:51 Energy Poverty And Jobs
59:09 Rare Metals And Land Use
01:01:40 Better Priorities Consensus
01:02:29 Absurd Costly Pointless
01:03:59 Cartoons And Media Satire
01:09:33 Arctic Update And Data
01:13:28 Wrap Up Links And Wildfires

https://rclutz.com/
=========
Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1