BTC Sessions

Mentor Sessions Ep 099: Dave Collum on the AI bubble bursting, the bond market at 6%, boomer asset liquidation, and why gold and Bitcoin win as valuations regress.

The AI bubble has the life expectancy of a soufflé, the 30-year Treasury is being drawn to 6% like a magnet, and Dave Collum thinks the whole thing reprices within a year. This is the macro conversation most people are too polite to have.

In this episode, chemistry professor and macro commentator Dave Collum breaks down why the decades-long credit cycle is over, why the inverse correlation between gold and interest rates is about to break, and why boomer asset liquidation guarantees a repricing no dip-buyer can stop. You'll learn why he calls Jensen Huang's share buybacks a bell-ringing top, why he puts the AI capex build-out on a one-year clock, and why he thinks a rare double bear market in bonds AND equities is teeing up — the setup where 60/40 offers no protection. You'll also hear his contrarian take that AI will make the world worse without destroying civilization, plus his read on Warsh, the Fed, and why gold and Bitcoiners could be the ones left standing.

⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
0:50 - Gold Silver Recent Price Action
1:27 - End of the Long Credit Cycle
1:49 - Central Bankers Driving Rates to Zero
4:50 - Treasury Rates Pulled Toward Six Percent
6:32 - Seven Percent Mortgages Housing Trap
9:46 - Kevin Warsh Rate Hikes and Collapse
11:55 - Economy Needs Real Assets Not Data Centers
12:48 - Jensen Huang Nvidia Buyback Signal
14:17 - AI Threat to Civilization Examined
17:46 - Sneaky Behaviors Observed in AI
20:48 - Bitcoin Proof of Work Constrains AI
25:59 - Nuclear Risks Middle East Conflict
27:47 - Putin Iran Restraint in Geopolitics
40:52 - Israel Palestine Historical Context
45:11 - Iran Nuclear Strike Questions Raised
50:40 - Yen Carry Trade Stability Analysis
59:06 - Boomers Driving Boom and Bust
59:33 - Median Boomer Retirement Savings Shortfall
1:03:19 - Boomer Wealth Transfer Needs Repricing
1:08:08 - Lindsay Clancy Case Maternal Tracking
2:01:32 - System Collapse Worse Than Historical
2:03:16 - AI Bubble in Fifteenth Inning
2:04:31 - Market Regression Eighty Five Percent Drop
2:36:45 - Nasdaq Rollover Sudden Bid Support
2:39:15 - Gamma Squeeze Pushing Markets Higher
2:42:07 - Potential Correction Impact on Saylor

🔗 Links & Resources
→ Dave Collum on X: https://x.com/DavidBCollum

If you want the macro conversations the rest of the space won't touch, this is the show. Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin and macro interviews, and drop your take on Collum's one-year AI clock in the comments.

⚡Previous Episode:
Jack Mallers: https://youtu.be/LpwGHzUTQ7A

🔔 Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin Podcasts
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/BTCSessions
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor

⚡Sovereign Sessions — AI, Privacy, and Bitcoin education: http://youtube.com/@SovereignSessions?sub_confirmation=1

⚡ Sponsored by Trezor - Get Your Safe 7 Today: https://affil.trezor.io/aff_c?offer_id=352&aff_id=1088

⚡ POWERED by Abundant Mines: Fully managed Bitcoin mining. Learn more at https://qrco.de/bgYKPB

⚡ Sponsored by BITCOIN WELL: Best Place to BUY & SELL BITCOIN
https://qrco.de/bfiDC6

💡BOOK Private Sessions with Nathan, Ben and the BTC Mentor Team: Master self-custody, hardware, multisig, Lightning, privacy, and more.
👉 Visit btcmentor.io

#MacroEconomics #BondMarket #BTCSessions #DaveCollum #AIbubble #EconomicBubble #TreasuryYields #CreditCycle #BoomerWealth #GeopoliticalRisk #GoldAndBitcoin #MarketCrash #6040Portfolio #SystemicCollapse

Mentor Sessions Ep 098: Jack Mallers explains monetizing chaos, dollar debasement, the ColdCard incident, El Salvador and why Bitcoin is the most American technology.

Jack Mallers argues the entire fiat system forces everyone into speculation whether they know it or not — and Bitcoin is how you take the other side of the chaos. In a wide-ranging sit-down, the Strike CEO breaks down monetizing chaos, the $40 trillion debt bill nobody wants to foot, and why he's never been more bullish.

You'll hear why Jack calls debt a form of "time travel" that already spent your future, how the dollar's world-reserve status structurally forces deficits, and why a severe debasement against gold and Bitcoin may be the only mathematical exit for the US balance sheet. You'll get his blunt read on the ColdCard incident and why "open source doesn't mean secure" in the age of AI — the most incentivized person to understand that code base was the attacker. You'll also learn why he thinks 2026 was never a real bull run, why prediction markets are just regulatory arbitrage on sports betting, and what El Salvador got right (and wrong) five years in.

⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
0:48 - Why Jack Is Bullish on Bitcoin
1:47 - Monetizing Chaos by Shorting Fiat
2:04 - Debt as Time Travel and Future Bills
4:43 - Why Public Adoption of Bitcoin Lags
5:17 - Strike Growing Despite Bear Market
6:21 - Why 2026 Was Not a Real Bull Run
7:52 - Why Younger Generations Resist Bitcoin
8:44 - Bitcoin as a Massive Wealth Transfer
11:26 - Savings Culture Versus Gambling Culture
13:07 - Gambling Ads, OnlyFans, and Robot Jobs
17:58 - Hunger for Savings Culture Emerging
18:10 - Family, Low Time Preference, and Bitcoin
21:43 - Robinhood, Meme Coins, and Marginal Speculators
24:23 - Prediction Markets as Sports Betting Arbitrage
26:52 - Why Self-Custody Efforts Often Fail
28:27 - El Salvador Bitcoin Adoption Wins and Losses
34:07 - Why Nations Avoid Copying El Salvador
38:06 - Bitcoin as America's Most American Tech
40:17 - Dollar's Structural Deficit Trap Explained
41:12 - China's Gold and Bitcoin Dollar Debasement
45:49 - Why Jack Glad Clarity Act Failed
47:53 - Fix: End World Reserve Currency Status
49:18 - Bitcoin Not Medium of Exchange First
55:20 - AI Threat to Open Source Security
57:33 - Open Source Alone Does Not Secure
1:02:09 - Just Use Bitcoin Core for Security
1:08:37 - Jack on Leaving Twenty One and Authenticity
1:14:47 - What Strike Is Building Now
1:20:04 - Closing Message to Bitcoiners

Guest: Jack Mallers of Strike

🔗 Links & Resources:
- Jack Mallers on X: https://x.com/jackmallers
- Strike: https://strike.me

⚡Previous Episode:
Zack Shapiro: https://youtu.be/iZ7e0hY0WL8

🔔 Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin Podcasts
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/BTCSessions
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor

⚡Sovereign Sessions — AI, Privacy, and Bitcoin education: http://youtube.com/@SovereignSessions?sub_confirmation=1

⚡ Sponsored by Trezor - Get Your Safe 7 Today: https://affil.trezor.io/aff_c?offer_id=352&aff_id=1088

⚡ POWERED by Abundant Mines: Fully managed Bitcoin mining. Learn more at https://qrco.de/bgYKPB

⚡ Sponsored by BITCOIN WELL: Best Place to BUY & SELL BITCOIN
https://qrco.de/bfiDC6

💡BOOK Private Sessions with Nathan, Ben and the BTC Mentor Team: Master self-custody, hardware, multisig, Lightning, privacy, and more.
👉 Visit btcmentor.io

If this conversation gave you a new way to see the macro picture, join the regulars — subscribe for more long-form Bitcoin interviews and reply with your take on "monetizing chaos." Catch the previous episode with James Lavish and Doomberg linked in the cards.

#JackMallers #Bitcoin #BTCSessions #Strike #BTC #BitcoinMacro #DollarDebasement #MonetizingChaos #SoundMoney #BitcoinBearMarket #WorldReserveCurrency #PredictionMarkets #ElSalvadorBitcoin #Coldcard #OpenSourceSecurity #BitcoinCore #LightningNetwork #SelfCustody #TwentyOne

Mentor Sessions Ep 097: James Lavish and Doomberg break down the 2026 bond market crisis, Europe's diesel shortage, private credit risk, and Bitcoin as a macro asset.

Bond yields near 20-year highs, Europe staring down a diesel shortage, and private credit quietly marking its own books — the plumbing of the global financial system is under real strain, and this conversation maps exactly where the pressure is building.

James Lavish and Doomberg join BTC Sessions to connect the dots between the bond market, energy, geopolitics, and Bitcoin. You'll learn why the 10-year yield sitting at ~5% signals a structural regime change rather than a passing inflation scare, how private equity and insurance companies are stuffed with self-marked paper that echoes 2007-2008, and why Doomberg calls Europe's diesel situation the "Four Horsemen of the Diesel Apocalypse." You'll see the case that energy — not currency — is the base layer of every market, why nations are now selling Treasuries to buy fuel, and where Bitcoin fits as the "hot ball of money" hunting for the next asymmetric bet. Both guests also share the disciplined, rules-based approach they use to allocate across gold, cash, and Bitcoin without trying to time the market.

⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
0:43 - Bond yields near 20-year highs and global yield melt-up
0:57 - Why the 10-year at 5% is a new regime, not a blip
3:28 - The death of the 60/40 portfolio
5:38 - Doomberg on Grant Williams, Luke Gromen and fiscal dominance
9:03 - Hyperscaler debt crowding out long-dated paper
10:16 - Echoes of 2007-2008 in private equity and insurance
12:19 - The Treasury default nobody will call a default
16:38 - How private credit marks its own book
20:16 - Every market has its own purpose and structure
25:26 - Trezor Safe 7 self-custody segment
29:55 - Money is a promissory note on energy
30:16 - Private credit, contagion and the mark-to-market catalyst
33:16 - Could real estate seize up the credit chain?
37:01 - Diesel, WTI and the Four Horsemen of the Diesel Apocalypse
42:43 - Why Europe is uniquely exposed
44:08 - Germany's nuclear mistake and the EU's fragility
47:47 - Why Germany may leave the EU
49:04 - Ukraine, Russia and the energy war
51:38 - Why bonds aren't seeing a flight to safety
53:23 - Bitcoin as the asset chucked overboard, now bid
57:03 - Doomberg's rules-based gold, cash and Bitcoin allocation
59:40 - Canada, Greenland, Carney and Trump theater
1:05:44 - Where to follow James Lavish

🔗 Links & Resources:
• James Lavish on X: https://x.com/jameslavish
• The Informationist newsletter:https://www.jameslavish.com/
• Doomberg on Substack: https://newsletter.doomberg.com/

⚡Previous Episode:
Zack Shapiro: https://youtu.be/iZ7e0hY0WL8

🔔 Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin Podcasts
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/BTCSessions
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor

⚡Sovereign Sessions — AI, Privacy, and Bitcoin education: http://youtube.com/@SovereignSessions?sub_confirmation=1

⚡ Sponsored by Trezor - Get Your Safe 7 Today: https://affil.trezor.io/aff_c?offer_id=352&aff_id=1088

⚡ POWERED by Abundant Mines: Fully managed Bitcoin mining. Learn more at https://qrco.de/bgYKPB

⚡ Sponsored by BITCOIN WELL: Best Place to BUY & SELL BITCOIN
https://qrco.de/bfiDC6

💡BOOK Private Sessions with Nathan, Ben and the BTC Mentor Team: Master self-custody, hardware, multisig, Lightning, privacy, and more.
👉 Visit btcmentor.io

#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCSessions #JamesLavish #Doomberg #BondMarket #FiscalDominance #EnergyCrisis #PrivateCredit #DieselShortage #SoundMoney #InterestRates #Treasuries #MoneyPrinting #Europe

Mentor Sessions Ep 096: Zack Shapiro explains AI existential risk, AI regulation, the Clarity Act, Samurai Wallet, and open source AI policy for Bitcoin.

The Clarity Act just failed on the Senate floor, and the fight over whether writing Bitcoin code can be treated as a crime is now heading to 70-year-old federal judges. Zack Shapiro breaks down what that means for self-custody, open source software, and the Samurai Wallet developers still behind bars.

In this conversation you'll learn why Zack separates AI existential risk (recursive self-improvement, the orthogonality thesis, instrumental convergence) from the ordinary risks of AI — job displacement, regulatory capture by frontier labs, and cyber attacks like the Cold Card hack. You'll see why he thinks open source AI is not the existential threat, why the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA) matters more than most Bitcoiners realize, and how the 'two clocks' of AI capability vs enterprise adoption will define the next decade. You'll also get the legal reality behind white hat recovery of hacked Bitcoin, why the liquid hacker is in a bad spot, and what happened when the Clarity Act died on the vine.

⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
0:51 - Amodei, Musk and Altman urge AI slowdown
1:38 - Ordinary risks versus existential AI threats
2:26 - Politics warping the AI safety debate
3:20 - Bostrom, AGI and intelligence explosion risks
5:01 - Orthogonality thesis and instrumental convergence
5:59 - Hugging Face attack shows AI covering tracks
6:58 - No easy policy fixes for AI risks
8:08 - Can't stop AI progress or open source China
9:32 - Separating x-risk concerns from anti-AI populism
12:22 - Regulatory capture and Anthropic IPO timing
14:21 - Keeping open source AI legal and available
16:39 - Trezor self-custody sponsor read
17:43 - One shot parallel between Bitcoin and AI
19:37 - Where real AI productivity gains appear
20:47 - Two Clocks: capability versus enterprise adoption
24:22 - Is AI coming for your job?
25:28 - Electrification analogy and 30-year lag
28:34 - Jevons Paradox and future of work
30:42 - White hat recovery of Cold Card hacked funds
34:02 - Legal precedent for white hat bounties
36:56 - Why the Liquid hacker faces trouble
38:55 - What's actually in the Clarity Act
43:46 - Money transmitter law and the Samurai case
45:20 - Tornado Cash, FinCEN and frying pan argument
47:31 - Why this could ban using Bitcoin
49:33 - BRCA criminal protections and court battles
53:42 - Clarity Act fails to pass what happened
55:24 - Senator Lummis stood on principle
56:50 - Where to follow Zack Shapiro

Guest: Zack Shapiro — lawyer and AI-native law firm builder covering crypto policy, AI regulation, and Bitcoin legal defense.

🔗 Links & Resources:
- Zack Shapiro on X: https://x.com/zackbshapiro

⚡Previous Episode:
Bob Burnett and Nacho Pauls of Ocean: https://youtu.be/1-lvwj4DcJs
Brent Johnson: https://youtu.be/UoIwpsOB9O0

🔔 Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin Podcasts
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/BTCSessions
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor

⚡Sovereign Sessions — AI, Privacy, and Bitcoin education: http://youtube.com/@SovereignSessions?sub_confirmation=1

⚡ Sponsored by Trezor - Get Your Safe 7 Today: https://affil.trezor.io/aff_c?offer_id=352&aff_id=1088

⚡ POWERED by Abundant Mines: Fully managed Bitcoin mining. Learn more at https://qrco.de/bgYKPB

⚡ Sponsored by BITCOIN WELL: Best Place to BUY & SELL BITCOIN
https://qrco.de/bfiDC6

💡BOOK Private Sessions with Nathan, Ben and the BTC Mentor Team: Master self-custody, hardware, multisig, Lightning, privacy, and more.
👉 Visit btcmentor.io

#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCSessions #ZackShapiro #ClarityAct #BRCA #SelfCustody #SamuraiWallet #ColdCardHack #AIRegulation #AISafety #OpenSourceAI #Superintelligence #BitcoinPolicy #BlackRock

Mentor Sessions Ep 095: Bob Burnett and Nacho Pauls of Ocean discuss Bitcoin mining decentralization, the BIP-110 chain split, hash rate flight, and Bitcoin Knots.

Bitcoin's first real hard fork just tested mining decentralization for real — and Ocean's hash rate dropped from roughly 40 exahash to 23 before clawing back. Bob Burnett (Barefoot Mining, Ocean chairman) and Nacho Pauls break down what actually happened when the chain split, why rented hash fled while owned hash stayed, and what the loss of Bitcoin Knots means for client diversity going forward.

You'll learn why the "template centralization" problem is still the core issue even after BIP-110 was resolved, how a non-KYC pool kept paying miners through the chaos, and why Bob argues Bitcoin needs 3 to 5 competing clients — drawing a direct parallel to how the PC industry standardized USB, PCI, and Bluetooth. You'll also get the honest story behind Ocean's high-profile team departures, who's stepping into the CTO and chairman roles, and why Bob calls the whole episode a "distraction" the community ultimately settled the right way.

Whether you run a node, stack sats, or care about who really controls Bitcoin's hash, this is a candid, insider conversation about mining, consensus, and what comes next.

⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
0:41 - Hard Fork Fallout and What Happened
1:12 - Have Bob's Decentralization Views Shifted?
1:54 - Datum Templates and Decentralization Fix
3:25 - Ocean Hash Rate Drops From 40 to 23 EH
3:43 - Overcoming Defeatism Among Motivated Miners
4:11 - Nacho Explains Why Miners Left Then Returned
4:57 - Only Pool That Let Miners Choose
6:37 - Owned Hash Rate Versus Rented Hash
8:34 - True Cost of 15 EH Rented Hash
9:38 - Non-KYC Mining and Unknown Customers
10:50 - Why Large Miners Avoid Switching to Ocean
13:20 - Ocean's Jump to 30 EH and Path to 100
17:23 - Sponsor Break
18:50 - Team Drama and Key Departures
20:17 - Amicable Split With Departing Founders
22:01 - Jason Hughes Becomes CTO and Board Changes
23:28 - BIP-110 Debate and Your Hash Your Choice
33:15 - Bob's Personal Take on Departures
34:13 - Mistake of Treating BIP-110 as Crisis
38:39 - Community Consensus and Bitcoin's Strength
43:57 - Losing Bitcoin Knots Client Option
45:53 - Short Medium and Long Term Client Strategy
46:48 - Plea to Core on Extended Version Support
47:27 - Why Bitcoin Needs Three to Five Clients
48:32 - PC Industry Lessons on USB and PCI Standards
51:16 - Where to Follow Nacho and Bob

Guests mentioned: Bob Burnett (Barefoot Mining, Ocean), Nacho Pauls (Ocean), plus discussion of Luke DeWolf, Jason Hughes, and the Bitcoin Boomers.

🔗 Links & Resources:
• Ocean: https://ocean.xyz
• Bob Burnett on X: https://x.com/Boomer_BTC
• Nacho Pauls on X: https://x.com/NachoPauls
• BTC Sessions: https://btcsessions.ca

⚡Previous Episode:
Brent Johnson: https://youtu.be/UoIwpsOB9O0

🔔 Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin Podcasts
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/BTCSessions
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor

⚡Sovereign Sessions — AI, Privacy, and Bitcoin education: http://youtube.com/@SovereignSessions?sub_confirmation=1

⚡ POWERED by Abundant Mines: Fully managed Bitcoin mining. Learn more at https://qrco.de/bgYKPB

⚡ Sponsored by BITCOIN WELL: Best Place to BUY & SELL BITCOIN
https://qrco.de/bfiDC6

💡BOOK Private Sessions with Nathan, Ben and the BTC Mentor Team: Master self-custody, hardware, multisig, Lightning, privacy, and more.
👉 Visit btcmentor.io

#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCSessions #BitcoinMining #MiningDecentralization #BIP110 #BitcoinKnots #OceanPool #HashRate #BobBurnett #NachoPauls #HardFork #BarefootMining #ProofOfWork #SelfCustody