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- Mentor Sessions Ep 095: Bob Burnett and Nacho Pauls of Ocean discuss Bitcoin mining decentralization, the BIP-110 chain split, hash rate flight, and Bitcoin Knots.
Bitcoin's first real hard fork just tested mining decentralization for real — and Ocean's hash rate dropped from roughly 40 exahash to 23 before clawing back. Bob Burnett (Barefoot Mining, Ocean chairman) and Nacho Pauls break down what actually happened when the chain split, why rented hash fled while owned hash stayed, and what the loss of Bitcoin Knots means for client diversity going forward.
You'll learn why the "template centralization" problem is still the core issue even after BIP-110 was resolved, how a non-KYC pool kept paying miners through the chaos, and why Bob argues Bitcoin needs 3 to 5 competing clients — drawing a direct parallel to how the PC industry standardized USB, PCI, and Bluetooth. You'll also get the honest story behind Ocean's high-profile team departures, who's stepping into the CTO and chairman roles, and why Bob calls the whole episode a "distraction" the community ultimately settled the right way.
Whether you run a node, stack sats, or care about who really controls Bitcoin's hash, this is a candid, insider conversation about mining, consensus, and what comes next.
⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
0:41 - Hard Fork Fallout and What Happened
1:12 - Have Bob's Decentralization Views Shifted?
1:54 - Datum Templates and Decentralization Fix
3:25 - Ocean Hash Rate Drops From 40 to 23 EH
3:43 - Overcoming Defeatism Among Motivated Miners
4:11 - Nacho Explains Why Miners Left Then Returned
4:57 - Only Pool That Let Miners Choose
6:37 - Owned Hash Rate Versus Rented Hash
8:34 - True Cost of 15 EH Rented Hash
9:38 - Non-KYC Mining and Unknown Customers
10:50 - Why Large Miners Avoid Switching to Ocean
13:20 - Ocean's Jump to 30 EH and Path to 100
17:23 - Sponsor Break
18:50 - Team Drama and Key Departures
20:17 - Amicable Split With Departing Founders
22:01 - Jason Hughes Becomes CTO and Board Changes
23:28 - BIP-110 Debate and Your Hash Your Choice
33:15 - Bob's Personal Take on Departures
34:13 - Mistake of Treating BIP-110 as Crisis
38:39 - Community Consensus and Bitcoin's Strength
43:57 - Losing Bitcoin Knots Client Option
45:53 - Short Medium and Long Term Client Strategy
46:48 - Plea to Core on Extended Version Support
47:27 - Why Bitcoin Needs Three to Five Clients
48:32 - PC Industry Lessons on USB and PCI Standards
51:16 - Where to Follow Nacho and Bob
Guests mentioned: Bob Burnett (Barefoot Mining, Ocean), Nacho Pauls (Ocean), plus discussion of Luke DeWolf, Jason Hughes, and the Bitcoin Boomers.
🔗 Links & Resources:
• Ocean: https://ocean.xyz
• Bob Burnett on X: https://x.com/Boomer_BTC
• Nacho Pauls on X: https://x.com/NachoPauls
• BTC Sessions: https://btcsessions.ca
⚡Previous Episode:
Brent Johnson: https://youtu.be/UoIwpsOB9O0
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🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor
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#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCSessions #BitcoinMining #MiningDecentralization #BIP110 #BitcoinKnots #OceanPool #HashRate #BobBurnett #NachoPauls #HardFork #BarefootMining #ProofOfWork #SelfCustody They’re Not Saving the Republic, They’re Building Fortress North America | Brent Johnson
07-09-2026 | 1 u. 4 Min.Mentor Sessions Ep 094: Brent Johnson explains the 2026 dollar outlook, the collapse of the rules-based order, Bessent's Treasury moves, and how AI and stablecoins entrench the US dollar.
The rules-based order that kept markets stable for 80 years is dying - and Brent Johnson explains what replaces it, why the US dollar gets STRONGER not weaker, and how AI and stablecoins entrench American power for decades.
Brent Johnson (Santiago Capital, Dollar Milkshake Theory) sits down for a wide-ranging conversation on the biggest structural shift in markets since World War Two. You'll learn why he thinks the American Republic could give way to an American empire, why Scott Bessent's Treasury buybacks matter more than the headlines suggest, and how passive management can turn a bond wobble into a full crisis. You'll see why he's concentrated in North America and the Western Hemisphere, why he calls the US-China relationship a "divorce," and why he refuses to bet against the US Treasury even as others call for the dollar's death. He also breaks down why AI is now a matter of national security, why stablecoins are structurally bullish for the dollar, and where Bitcoin fits in the emerging digital-asset order.
⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
1:17 - Iran War and Dollar System Resilience
4:10 - Iran Conflict Pressure on Treasury Yields
5:41 - Rising Yields Create Global Collateral Strain
8:25 - Bessent Long-End Buybacks Explained
10:20 - Mike Green on Passive Bond Risks
11:48 - Rules-Based Order Has Ended
13:39 - Shift to America First Proactive Policy
17:31 - Signs the Rules-Based Order Is Dying
18:27 - Vance and Rubio Munich Security Speeches
21:41 - China Also Wants Strategic Divorce
23:26 - Multipolar World or US Remains Dominant
24:44 - American Republic Falls Into Empire
27:00 - Republic Versus Empire and Authoritarianism
31:07 - Positioning Portfolios Amid Geopolitical Chaos
33:28 - Building Fortress North America Strategy
35:19 - Canada US Relationship Realities
39:41 - Energy Trade War Leverage Analysis
44:16 - Bessent Druckenmiller Soros Trading Lineage
48:51 - Market Outlook Violently Sideways Year End
53:01 - AI Now National Security Priority
57:02 - AI Short Term Employment Risks
58:06 - Stablecoins Strengthen US Dollar Position
59:31 - Bitcoin Role Alongside Stablecoins
1:01:57 - Global Institutions Must Adapt Next
Brent Johnson's written research and weekly show "Milkshakes, Markets and Madness" are at Santiago Capital - links below.
🔗 Links & Resources:
• Santiago Capital research: https://research.santiagocapital.com/
• Brent Johnson on X: https://x.com/SantiagoAuFund
⚡Previous Episode:
Luke Gromen & Lyn Alden: https://youtu.be/xoAuuJyBg6E
🔔 Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin Podcasts
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/BTCSessions
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor
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#AmericanEmpire #FortressNorthAmerica #FortressAmerica #RulesBasedOrder #BrentJohnson #DollarMilkshake #SantiagoCapital #USDollar #USD #ReserveCurrency #TreasuryMarket #Gold #Bitcoin #DigitalAssets #Stablecoins #Geopolitics #Hegemony #China #MacroEconomics #CapitalFlows #Multipolar #ScottBessent #AINationalSecurity #BTCSessions- Mentor Sessions 093: Luke Gromen and Lyn Alden explain the 2026 global bond market crisis, private credit risk, yield curve control, and Bitcoin and gold as safe havens.
The global bond market is bleeding out in slow motion, and the real danger is buried in private credit that insurance companies can't sell without going insolvent. Luke Gromen and Lyn Alden break down why the long end of the Treasury market is grinding higher, why Scott Bessent intervened before any visible crisis, and what happens when trillion-dollar balance sheets finally hit the sell button.
You'll learn why China is the one nation conspicuously absent from the sovereign debt rout, how AI-driven deflation is reshaping Chinese manufacturing, and why Gromen argues the U.S. now faces a "Weimar gold reparations" problem with true interest expense at 105% of receipts. You'll see why both guests believe rate hikes are no longer even a usable tool under fiscal dominance, how a Blackrock "one phone call" scenario could freeze $5 trillion in a crisis, and where Bitcoin and gold fit as bearer assets when markets get locked down. Alden makes the case for holding scarce assets and extra cash through the air pockets; Gromen explains why he trimmed Bitcoin and exactly when he'd aggressively buy it back.
⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
1:12 - Treasury Event or Broader Sovereign Debt Crisis
1:34 - Why China Avoids the Global Bond Rout
2:00 - Hyperscalers Emerge as New Bond Vigilantes
3:41 - Path Leading to Yield Curve Control
4:15 - Why Chinese 10-Year Yields Hit Global Lows
6:00 - AI Driving Deflation in Chinese Manufacturing
10:17 - Orderly Bond Market Grind vs Sensationalized Crash
13:43 - The Dog That Didn't Bark in Bessent's Move
14:38 - Silent Crisis Brewing in Private Credit
15:38 - Insurance Insolvency Risk Triggers Treasury Sales
19:01 - Liquidity Versus Solvency in Private Funds
27:44 - Will Warsh Raise Rates This Cycle
29:43 - True Interest Expense Hits 105% of Receipts
33:43 - Rate Hikes Fail Against Fiscal Dominance
35:50 - Crack Spreads, Diesel and Physical Bottlenecks
37:37 - Wall Street Awakening to Fiscal Dominance
40:12 - BlackRock's $5 Trillion Lockdown Scenario
41:00 - Past the Point of No Return for Markets
45:47 - Non-Linear Reset Versus Slow Economic Spiral
50:19 - Physical Constraints in Beef and Refineries
54:05 - Gormen Adds Back Bitcoin After Selling
57:07 - Lyn Alden on Bitcoin and Gold Outlook
🔗 Links & Resources:
Lyn Alden: https://www.lynalden.com/
Luke Gromen: https://fftt-llc.com/
⚡Previous Episodes:
Michael Sullivan: https://youtu.be/wp5IYzcThUo
Tom Luongo: https://youtu.be/zkvdfR7LTuU
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🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor
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👉 Visit btcmentor.io
#BTCSessions #Bitcoin #BTC #LukeGromen #LynAlden #BondMarket #Treasury #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurveControl #PrivateCredit #FiscalDominance #SovereignDebt #USDollar #Inflation #Gold #ChinaEconomy #Japan #MacroFinance #MacroEconomics #BitcoinEducation #BitcoinPodcast #BitcoinInterview #GlobalEconomy - Mentor Sessions 092: Michael Sullivan explains Bitcoin sentiment analysis, emotional cohort signals, OG optimism, narrative shifts, and why the data may point to a bottom.
Bitcoin sentiment just did something it rarely does after a 22% rip: it stayed calm. No euphoria, no desire spike, no retail flooding back — and that gap between the price move and the emotional data is where the real signal lives.
Michael Sullivan — an engineer and fiction writer turned Bitcoin sentiment analyst — breaks down how he tracks 14 distinct emotions across cohorts of Bitcoiners, from OGs and technologists to MSTR treasury speculators. You'll learn why he cohorts the crowd instead of scraping social media, why the Fear & Greed Index misses all the nuance, and why he reads OG optimism as one of the most reliable early signals that positive things are on the horizon. You'll see why 'desire' language sits inversely correlated with price, why the near-total absence of a new narrative can be wildly bullish near a bottom, and how the BIP-110 debate produced algorithmic engagement patterns that looked artificially farmed. He also lays out the AI-bubble-to-Bitcoin thesis and why he's personally bearish by instinct but bullish on the data.
⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
0:38 - Why this rally feels like disbelief
1:09 - Massive sentiment phase shift after crash
2:01 - Rally lacks expected euphoria levels
3:05 - Tracking caring language in ColdCard event
3:58 - Technologists impressed most during crisis
5:12 - Studying Saylor's four Bitcoin cohorts
6:33 - MSTR shareholders as conviction outlier
7:18 - OG optimism as reliable bullish signal
7:59 - Are OGs turning optimistic now
9:56 - Emotions linked to time and excitement
11:40 - Downturn negative language uniquely severe
12:40 - Desire language at market tops and bottoms
16:52 - How language analysis became his focus
19:11 - BIP-110 debate through psychology lens
21:09 - Algorithmic engagement that felt farmed
26:55 - AI bots distorting sentiment data
29:47 - Spotting leaders and narrative first movers
32:56 - Narratives shaping markets and price
34:37 - Absence of narrative as bullish signal
36:42 - Does price or emotion move first
40:03 - AI deflation versus Bitcoin scarcity thesis
40:30 - Euphoria missing at prior all-time high
45:17 - Bitcoiners versus treasury company speculators
50:07 - Conviction language versus hedging explained
54:03 - Denoising sarcasm with cohort analysis
59:31 - Signals needed to confirm bearish view
1:00:06 - Data pointing bullish over coming months
1:02:10 - Where to follow Michael's latest work
Michael writes deep analysis on Bitcoin sentiment and shares it on X and Substack — links below.
🔗 Links & Resources:
https://x.com/SullyMichaelvan
⚡Previous Episode - Tom Luongo: https://youtu.be/zkvdfR7LTuU
🔔 Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin Podcasts
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/BTCSessions
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor
⚡Sovereign Sessions — AI, Privacy, and Bitcoin education: http://youtube.com/@SovereignSessions?sub_confirmation=1
💡BOOK Private Sessions with Nathan, Ben and the BTC Mentor Team: Master self-custody, hardware, multisig, Lightning, privacy, and more.
👉 Visit btcmentor.io
⚡ POWERED by Abundant Mines: Fully managed Bitcoin mining. Learn more at https://qrco.de/bgYKPB
⚡ Sponsored by BITCOIN WELL: Best Place to BUY & SELL BITCOIN
https://qrco.de/bfiDC6
#Bitcoin #BitcoinSentiment #BTCSessions #BTC #MarketPsychology #MichaelSullivan #DisbeliefRally #BitcoinRally #BitcoinBottom #BitcoinCohorts #BitcoinOG #CryptoPsychology #FearAndGreed #NarrativeShifts #OnChainAnalysis #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoSentiment #BitcoinTwitter #SelfCustody #BitcoinTreasury #MSTR #StackSats #BIP110 #BitcoinInterview - Mentor Sessions Ep. 091: Tom Luongo explains the 2026 currency war, Scott Bessent's yen bomb, oil collateral, European bond squeeze, and the US Treasury buyback plan.
The previously most powerful people in the world are now price takers, not price makers — and Tom Luongo walks through exactly how Scott Bessent flipped that switch. Global markets just witnessed a structural break in the European bond trade, and almost nobody saw the mechanism behind it.
In this conversation, Tom Luongo and Nathan break down the currency war unfolding across the FX and bond markets: how Bessent 'bombed the yen' by selling euros instead of dollars, why the euro-yen cross froze the moment Operation Epic Fury began, and how Iranian oil loadings were being used as collateral to fuel the short-yen, short-Treasury trade. You'll learn why the US Treasury buyback expansion is a signal and not QE, how the German Bund fits into Europe's alleged default-and-consolidate endgame, and what John Ratcliffe's open trip to Moscow may be telegraphing. You'll also hear Luongo's falsifiable macro thesis — where the 30-year yield goes next, and what it means for gold, silver and Bitcoin.
⏱️ Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro
0:44 - Bessent's Moves on Yen and Euro
1:27 - Shifting From Kinetic to Economic Siege
3:06 - The Yen Carry Trade That Shouldn't Exist
4:42 - Bessent Blew It Up Selling Euros
8:26 - Euro-Yen Cross Freezes After Iran Strikes
8:49 - Iranian Oil Used as Trade Collateral
11:17 - Traders Trapped After Buying Oil Breakout
12:59 - How Bessent Scans 270 Markets for Signals
18:05 - Treasury Buyback Expansion Details
22:04 - Defending the 5.25 Percent Yield Level
23:31 - Buyback Limit Is Just a Market Signal
27:15 - Europe's Default and ECB Consolidation Plan
28:45 - Financial Warfare and Carney's Trade War
29:40 - Abundant Mines Sponsor
33:20 - Banks Trading With Iran Cut From Dollars
38:01 - US Taxpayers Funding Global Financial Chaos
41:24 - Is the Budget Deficit Really Shrinking
45:17 - China Iran Canada Oil and Banking Links
47:46 - Why Ratcliffe Is Meeting Russia in Moscow
50:54 - BRICS as Hedge Not Dollar Replacement
53:33 - Gold Silver Bitcoin Surge Explained
55:20 - Pushing the Long End of Yields Lower
59:00 - Key Markets to Watch Through Election
1:00:14 - Reading the Charts That Actually Matter
1:01:16 - Luongo's Falsifiable Macro Thesis
1:02:38 - Where to Follow Tom Luongo
Tom Luongo publishes his macro analysis and the Gold, Goats 'n Guns newsletter — links below.
⚡Previous Episode - Jeff Booth & Scott Melker: https://youtu.be/J7ze_lMKbZM
🔗 Links & Resources:
• Tom Luongo on X: https://x.com/TFL1728
• Gold Goats 'n Guns blog: https://tomluongo.me
🔔 Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin Podcasts
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/BTCSessions
🐦 Follow on X: https://x.com/theBTCmentor
⚡Sovereign Sessions — AI, Privacy, and Bitcoin education: http://youtube.com/@SovereignSessions?sub_confirmation=1
💡BOOK Private Sessions with Nathan, Ben and the BTC Mentor Team: Master self-custody, hardware, multisig, Lightning, privacy, and more.
👉 Visit btcmentor.io
⚡ POWERED by Abundant Mines: Fully managed Bitcoin mining. Learn more at https://qrco.de/bgYKPB
#Bitcoin #ScottBessent #TomLuongo #Gold #Iran #MarkCarney #BondMarket #USTreasury #YenCarryTrade #CurrencyWar #FinancialWarfare #GlobalMacro #DollarSystem #Geopolitics #BTCSessions #OilCollateral #EuroDefault #GermanBund #KevinWarsh #Silver
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