The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Warsh talks tough, buybacks double, a military option surfaces, gold falls $140, and boat prices collapse 50%.

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The Treasury doubled its bond buybacks this week. Then the talk turned to a military option for yields.

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh spent his most anticipated speech of the year talking tough about inflation, and Peter Schiff explains why none of it matters. Warsh accepted responsibility for 65 straight months above the 2% target, then never once mentioned the $40 trillion national debt or the Treasury intervention running underneath him. Money supply is expanding at roughly 6% annualized since he took the job. He is talking about putting out the fire while pouring the gasoline.

Underneath the speech, the policy escalated. Treasury buybacks already doubled from $2 billion to $4 billion, with roughly a trillion in the general fund available to extend them, shortening the average maturity of the debt and leaving the government more exposed to the rate hikes markets are now pricing. And in a Fox News interview on that same intervention, a military option for lowering bond yields was raised.

Peter also covers the week's real data: gold down $140, silver reversing from nearly $71, a Chicago PMI collapse to 47.1 that was the biggest downside miss in eleven years, and a boat market where prices have fallen 50% and lenders are taking the keys, a Fed-made boom and bust he argues housing is about to repeat.

Chapters:
00:00 Inflation Firestorm
00:37 Boatcast Setup
01:02 Warsh Speech Breakdown
04:12 Debt And Twist Ignored
08:10 Forward Guidance Critique
11:19 Dual Mandate Tradeoffs
12:46 Money Supply Matters
13:56 Hawkish Talk And Markets
18:50 Trump Military Option
20:01 Canada Tariffs Fallout
27:53 Market Wrap Gold Bitcoin
31:46 Strategy Dilution Spiral
32:42 Dollar Yen Bonds Warning
34:11 Manufacturing Digital Shift
39:03 Boating Bubble Bust
45:28 Boat Costs Force Selling
48:13 West Marine Bankruptcy
53:02 Buyer Market Repos Risk
56:30 Boat Ownership Reality
57:09 Closing Politics Plug

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#BondMarket #FederalReserve

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Peter Schiff breaks down the Treasury's panic move to rescue the bond market, the $40 trillion debt milestone, and gold's $185 reversal day.

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The Treasury just doubled its bond buybacks. Peter Schiff says that's the government admitting the bond market is broken.

On the same day the national debt topped $40 trillion, the Treasury announced it is doubling its long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion... buying the bonds everybody else is selling, and funding it by issuing more short-term debt. Peter calls it what it is: a panic move, a Hail Mary to suppress rising yields after the 30-year hit 5.3%, its highest in over 19 years. Refinancing debt locked in at a 3.44% average coupon with 4% T-bills makes no financial sense, which is exactly why it's happening... the government is scared, not stupid.

The market rendered its verdict immediately. Gold reversed off a $185 rally to close above $4,500, silver cleared $66, and the miners surged 8-12%, while hawkish FOMC minutes were shrugged off entirely. Peter explains why this Treasury version of Operation Twist forces the Fed to follow with real QE... a program that will have to dwarf 2008's... why Bitcoin's pop above $70,000 is built on hope, and why the housing data shows the panic is justified.

Chapters:
00:00 Treasury Panic Move
01:05 Bond Yields Hit New Highs
02:58 Debt Explosion Politics
07:00 Treasury Buyback Twist
10:23 QE Next And Fed Cornered
16:04 Hawkish Minutes Gold Surge
24:03 Markets React Unevenly
24:20 Dollar Drops Oil Jumps
25:08 Fed Inflation Bind
26:30 Debt Era Comparison
27:40 Jobs Data Media Spin
29:17 Bitcoin Versus Metals
31:19 Housing Slump Mortgages
33:59 Tariffs Canada Trade
37:50 Buybacks Won't Work
42:26 QE Addiction Ahead
44:34 Boat Update Farewell

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Peter Schiff on plunging retail sales, sticky inflation, the Fed's stealth QE, and why the world is now leaving the dollar standard.

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Retail sales just plunged, producer prices are still rising, and the Fed is quietly expanding its balance sheet again.

The July data tells the story the markets keep ignoring. Retail sales fell 0.6 percent, the biggest drop in over a year, and since those numbers are not adjusted for inflation, real spending fell even further. Consumer sentiment sank to 51 as households braced for 4.3 percent inflation, more than double the Fed's 2 percent target. Producer prices rose 4.7 percent year over year, and instead of rallying on the weak data, the bond market sold off to its lowest weekly close of the year, with the 30-year at 5.27 percent. Meanwhile the Fed expanded its balance sheet by more than 21 billion dollars in two weeks, with the national debt about 80 billion dollars away from 40 trillion.

Peter marks 55 years since Nixon closed the gold window and calls it what it was: a 100 percent default on America's creditors. His father Irwin testified against removing gold backing in 1968, and the 1970s proved him right. Now the sequel is underway. The world is going off the dollar standard the way America went off gold, and the next leg down in the American standard of living has already started. Gold near 4,400 dollars and silver above 66 are the market's verdict.

Chapters:
00:00 Middle Class Squeeze
01:01 PPI Breakdown
04:08 Fed Balance Sheet Surge
05:23 Stagflation Signals
08:28 Bond Market Warning
11:39 Greenspan and 1987 Echoes
14:48 Stocks vs Bonds Diverge
15:33 Gold Shines Bitcoin Slips
18:16 Bitcoin Bear Case
21:08 Iran Sanctions and Oil
26:30 Nixon Gold Standard Legacy
28:52 Inflation Math Reality
29:30 Video Plug Fiat Failure
30:19 Electric Catamaran Tour
34:30 Cruising Plans Tax Credit
37:02 Gold Standard Break Explained
48:09 Dollar Standard Ending

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#Stagflation #Inflation

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A record $432B July deficit, $40 trillion in debt days away, gold above $4,400... last week's fireworks were just the opening act.

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The CPI came in tame. Hours later the Treasury reported a $432 billion July deficit... the worst single month in US history.

Peter breaks down why the benign 0.1% July CPI is an accounting illusion: the BLS compares monthly averages, so June's oil collapse masked July's crude rebound, and August is set up to run hot. The real inflation news came later that day from the Treasury: a record $432 billion July deficit, $1.8 trillion in just ten months, and a national debt now less than $150 billion from $40 trillion. Bigger deficits mean more pressure on the Fed to choose inflation, which is exactly why the bond market refused to rally on the "good" CPI number.

Gold holds above $4,400 and silver above $65 as heavy Asian buying signals the de-dollarization trade is back on, while Bitcoin sits dead at $63,500 and misses the entire rally. Peter also covers the yen back above 159 and the Fed's swap-line backdoor QE for Japan, both parties drifting left after the latest primaries, Trump family corruption from Truth Social premium access to Barron's $150 million, and the Iran endgame: no deal, a closed Strait of Hormuz, and a president claiming victory in a war America clearly lost.

Chapters:
00:00 Inflation Signals Not Prices
01:22 CPI Print And Market Bets
04:24 CPI Math Masks Energy Surge
10:37 Deficits The Real Inflation Driver
19:54 Gold Surge Debt And Yen QE
31:09 Radical Left Wins Primaries
32:00 Both Parties Shift Left
34:17 Trump Corruption Claims
37:51 Bitcoin Stalls vs Gold
44:13 Iran War Reality Check

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Peter Schiff breaks down July's negative jobs report, Japan's yen crisis, and the Fed's stealth QE bailout as gold and silver surge.

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Recording from his boat in Rhode Island, Peter Schiff covers a week that vindicated his forecasts. The July jobs report showed a loss of 23,000 jobs, with prior months revised down another 105,000 and labor force participation falling to 61.4%, a level unseen outside COVID lockdowns in 50 years. Full-time jobs have declined in six of the last seven months while wages lag inflation, confirming the stagflation Peter has long warned about. The bigger story is Japan: with the yen at a 40-year low and JGB yields at record highs, the US executed its first yen intervention since 1998, roughly ten times larger, using euros instead of dollars and blindsiding the ECB. The Fed also took Japan's Treasuries via repo and printed the dollars, a stealth form of quantitative easing that contradicts its inflation-fighting rhetoric. Markets got the message: gold jumped 7.8% to 4,341, silver surged 12.3% to 63.46 after holding above the old $50 ceiling, and GDX rocketed 22% in one week, all far outpacing Bitcoin's 3.7% gain. Peter argues the intervention is just the beginning, the Fed will not hike before the midterms, and a currency and sovereign debt crisis is approaching. He urges listeners to prepare with gold, silver, miners, and foreign stocks, and to understand the coming crisis is caused by government, not capitalism.

Chapters:
00:00 Fed Japan Bond Backstop
01:11 Back At Sea Intro
01:59 Week Ahead Jobs Japan
03:23 Stocks Metals Surge
06:23 Bitcoin Strategy Warning
09:15 Bonds Dollar Fed Odds
14:00 July Jobs Shock
15:33 Revisions Participation Drop
19:51 Wages Inflation Stagflation
24:09 Trump Ballroom Rant
26:49 Japan Crisis Tease
29:24 Japan Yen Breakdown
31:30 Debt Trap And Rates
32:23 Treasury Selling Threat
34:35 Fed And BOJ Coordination
36:08 Swap Line QE Explained
41:15 Euro Intervention Twist
44:29 Inflation Signals And Metals
47:51 Storm Warning Ahead
49:18 Blame Government Not Markets
52:07 Prepare And Spread The Word

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