The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

My guest today is Russell Napier, an independent financial market strategist, financial historian, author of The Solid Ground investment report, and founder of the charitable venture The Library of Mistakes.

In today’s episode, Russell explains why investors are asking the wrong questions at a critical turning point in financial history. He how financial repression, shifting monetary regimes, and political priorities are reshaping capital markets. To close, he explains the dangers of yield chasing, why technology won’t defeat inflation, and why gold may be signaling what comes next.

(0:00) Starts

(3:14) Regime change & parallels to post-World War II Europe

(8:06) The search for yield is dangerous

(17:38) The disconnect between GDP growth and equity returns

(23:14) The impact of inflation & deflation on equity valuations

(25:56) Technology doesn't defeat inflation

(30:20) Monetary system changes, gold prices, and American exceptionalism

(37:50) Extrapolation is the opiate of the people

(48:26) Book recommendations

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For detailed show notes, click here

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Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at [email protected]

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Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. 

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Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! 

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Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Richard Bernstein, Chief Investment Officer of Richard Bernstein Advisors, which he founded in 2009. He was previously the Chief Investment Strategist at Merrill Lynch.

In today’s episode, Richard argues that the market is defined by rampant speculation and extreme narrowness. He explains why he’s bullish on both dividend-paying and international stocks and believes crypto is the first global investment bubble. To close, he warns that corporate credit is priced for perfection, inflation risks aren’t gone, and diversification is the best defense in a bubble-prone market.

(0:00) Starts

(1:20) Richard on market narrowness & speculation

(6:21) The Earnings Expectations Life Cycle

(12:33) Non-US stocks are undervalued

(18:38) Small cap trends and long-term investment themes

(24:14) American Industrialization Renaissance

(27:10) Corporate credit risk

(33:42) Is the Fed independent?

(36:38) Is crypto the first global investment bubble?

(41:11) The importance of financial history

(46:07) Richard's most memorable investment

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Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube

For detailed show notes, click here

To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com

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Sponsor: Join Alpha Architect’s LIVE webinar Feb 3rd to learn if a 351 Exchange may fit your clients’ needs. 

Before the webinar, visit Alpha Architect’s 351 Education Center for use cases, tools, FAQs, upcoming launches, and more.

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Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok

Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at [email protected]

-----

Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. 

-----

Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! 

-----Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

My guest today is Marc Faber, editor of the “Gloom Boom & Doom Report.”

In today’s episode, Marc explores the unpredictable nature of financial markets, the resurgence of precious metals and how money printing has fueled economic inequality. He argues that bonds are currently under-owned and may offer opportunity, and explains why emerging markets such as Thailand and Vietnam deserve consideration. 

To close, Marc underscores the importance of diversification in an increasingly uncertain world.

(0:00) Starts

(2:25) The rise of precious metals

(10:18) Impact of money printing on asset prices and social problems

(23:14) Bond bull case

(29:31) History of wealth redistribution

(36:13) Global investment insights: Thailand & beyond

(48:40) Importance of diversification

-----

Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube

For detailed show notes, click here

To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com

-----

Sponsor: Join Alpha Architect’s ⁠LIVE webinar⁠ Feb 3rd to learn if a 351 Exchange may fit your clients’ needs. 

Before the webinar, visit ⁠Alpha Architect’s 351 Education Center⁠ for use cases, tools, FAQs, upcoming launches, and more.

-----

Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok

-----

Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at [email protected]

-----

Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. 

-----

Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! 

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

My guest today is Cullen Roche, Chief Investment Officer at Orcam Financial Group and Discipline Funds. His latest book is Your Perfect Portfolio: The ultimate guide to using the world’s most powerful investing strategies.

In today’s episode, Cullen walks through the principles of portfolio construction. He emphasizes the importance of viewing investments as a means of savings rather than a quick path to wealth. Cullen explores the significance of time horizons in investment decisions, why real returns are what matter, and the origins of the 60/40 portfolio.

(0:00) Starts

(1:38) Principles of portfolio construction

(6:12) Real vs nominal returns

(11:01) Asset allocation and time horizon considerations

(26:59) Evaluating the role of government bonds in portfolios

(30:21) Origins of the 60/40 portfolio

(37:44) The forward cap portfolio

(46:49) The concept of duration in investing

(56:23) Disciplined Funds

(1:02:39) Asset liability matching

(1:03:15) Factors influencing investor behavior

-----

Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube

For detailed show notes, click here

To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com

-----

Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok

-----

Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at [email protected]

-----

Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. 

-----

Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! 

-----

Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Jack Ablin, CIO at Cresset Asset Management, which manages over $70 billion AUM. Jack was RIA Intel’s “CIO of the Year” for 2022 and was previously the CIO at BMO for 17 years.

In today’s episode, Jack walks through the ins and outs of investing in founder-led companies and what has led them to historically outperform. He also explains his approach to asset allocation, which structures portfolios based on time horizons rather than traditional asset classes. Finally, he offers an outlook for equities and fixed income next year, discusses private market opportunities, and looks at the future of Cresset Asset Management.

(0:00) Starts

(1:51) Overview of Cresset Asset Management

(6:40) Founder-led companies: Advantages and portfolio impact

(19:52) Fixed income and private market investment strategies

(26:32) Future prospects in Opportunity Zones and equities

(31:15) Currency considerations and foreign investment opportunities

(37:01) Jack's most memorable investment

-----

Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube

For detailed show notes, click here

To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com

-----

Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok

-----

Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at [email protected]

-----

Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. 

-----

Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! 

-----

Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices