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The Synopsis

Speedwell Research, LLC
The Synopsis
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  • Interview. Precision Medicine Fund Manager on Portfolio Construction, Risk, and "Developers" vs "Enablers"
    In this insightful interview with Blue Box Asset Mangement's Porfolio Manager Mark Dainty we talk about precision medicine and life sciences, his investment strategy, and how he constructs a portfolio of "developers" vs "enablers". We also talk about 3 stocks in the fund. We hope you enjoy listening!  *~*~*~*~*  Get access to all of Speedwell Research's in-depth Research Reports here. If you need help getting Speedwell added as an approved research vendor for your investment firm, please reach out to [email protected]  -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) — What is Precision Medicine and Life Sciences (11:15) — Small Markets, but Higher Prices (22:24) — Why Precision Medicine is like Dating Apps (27:56) — Investment Strategy and Portfolio Construction (47:20) — Two Stocks: Natera ($NTRA) and Guardant Health ($GH) (54:24) — Risk of the Unknown? (1:02:55) — Revolutions Medicines ($RVMD) (1:11:10) — Financial Modeling -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more!   Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *~*~*~*~*  Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discussed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here:  https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
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  • Dialogue. Constellation Software & Copart Updates, AGM, Losing Market Share, Negative Insurance Volumes
    In this Dialogue episode of The Synopsis, we give an update on Constellation Software and Copart after 1Q25 earnings (or fiscal 3Q25 for Copart) . Check out our written business updates for $CPRT and $CSU below!  Constellation Software Business Recap 1Q25 Copart Business Update Fiscal 3Q25 (Calendar 1Q25) ~*~ For full access to all of our updates and in-depth research reports become a Speedwell Member here. Please reach out to [email protected] if you need help getting us to become an approved research vendor in order to expense it. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) — Intro (1:55) —  Constellation Software Recap (17:15) — Copart Update  -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- For full access to all of our updates and in-depth research reports, become a Speedwell Member here. Please reach out to [email protected] if you need help getting us to become an approved research vendor in order to expense it. *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discussed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. At the time of publication, one or more contributors to this report has a position in CPRT and CSU. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in CPRT and CSU. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here:  https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
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  • Company. Airbnb: Becoming a Verb
    In this Company episode of The Synopsis we draw on our 108-page research report on Airbnb; the company that pioneered the sharing economy and become a Silicon Valley poster child for what a succesful start-up can become.  Having started as a means to pay rent, Airbnb quickly turned into one of the world's largest accommodations provider. In a matter of just a decade, Airbnb was able to host more guests than Hilton could in 100 years. However, despite their large impact in how tens of millions of people traveled and millions more monetized  their unused properties, they struggled for years to turn a profit. That is until founder Brian Chesky decided to do something drastic and reshape the business—in the midst of Covid no less. In the matter of just a few years he took the business from losing $4bn a year to generating $3bn annually in free cash flow. With Airbnb having a firm grasp on the Alternative Accommodations segment, they are preparing to enter into new businesses and new verticals. Tune in for all of this and more!  Learn more about our 108-page report here.  For full access to all of our in-depth research reports, become a Speedwell Member here.  If you need help getting Speedwell Research to become an approved research vendor, so you can expense your subscription, please email [email protected]  *~*~*~* Mentioned Speedwell Memos:  Minimum Viable Products versus Maximum Possible Products Introducing the Piton Network Concept -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) — Airbnb Intro Section 1: Business History (5:33) — From RISD to SF (19:05) — Cereal Boxes, Y Combinator (34:12) — Early Airbnb Experience, Competitors, International (43:10) — First Disaster (47:21) — Toshi Hotels, Regulation  (52:50) — Covid, Pulling the IPO (1:01:50) — IPO *~*~* Section 2: Industry and TAM (1:05:27) — Business, How do they Make Money? (1:18:13) — Experiences (1:22:31) — Margins and Cost Structure (1:25:26) — TAM Discussion (1:39:21) — Categories of Competition *~*~* Section 3: Competitors and Competitive Differentiation (1:42:16) — Booking Competition (1:52:21) — Merchant vs Agent Business Model, OTAs (2:02:17) — Booking’s Alternative Accommodation Push, Booking vs Airbnb (2:12:25) — Expedia, VRBO (2:25:47) — Other Competitors (2:30:47) — Comparing all Competitors, Network Effects, Differentiation (2:45:26) — Competitive Advantages (2:54:28) — Airbnb Negatives *~*~* Section 4: Other Bets, Capital Allocation, Valuation (2:58:33) — New Services, Super App (3:13:25) — ROIC and Free Cash Flow (3:20:04) — Capital Allocation, Stock Awards (3:27:44) — Growth Drivers (3:35:42) — Valuation (3:37:11) — Risks and Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more!   Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discussed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. At the time of recording contributors had a position in Airbnb. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on also may have  a position in Airbnb. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here:  https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
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  • Article. Two Ends of the Strategy Spectrum: The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences
    In this episode of The Synopsis we read our latest Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is "The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences: Two Ends of the Strategy Spectrum"  Memo Link: Two Ends of the Strategy Spectrum 3rd Memo in the Series: Assessing Retail Strategies with The Inventory Value Capture Index on the Value Capture Index   -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – A Bit About this Memo (3:49) –Memo Reading Starts (15:39) – Explaining Some Key Ideas from the Memo -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell’s Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more.  Please reach out to [email protected] if you need help getting us to become an approved research vendor in order to expense it. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here.  Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discussed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here:  https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
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    19:47
  • Article. The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences: The Other Side of the Consumer Value Prop
    In this episode of The Synopsis we read our latest Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is "The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences: The Other Side of the Consumer Value Prop"  Memo Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/the-consumers-hierarchy-of-preferences  2nd Memo in the series on The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences  3rd Memo in the series on The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – A Bit About this Memo (1:05) –Memo Reading Starts (15:39) – Explaining Some Key Ideas from the Memo -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell’s Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more.  Please reach out to [email protected] if you need help getting us to become an approved research vendor in order to expense it. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here.  Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discussed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here:  https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
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Speedwell Research spends hundreds of hours researching public businesses each month and in "The Synopsis" they share their key learnings. Most business podcasts are superficial and assume their listeners are unsophisticated. In contrast, The Synopsis trusts listeners are interested in learning about complex, industry-specific issues, so long as they are explained clearly. We cover businesses from inception to current day, coupling business analysis and an investors lens. Start listening today to become a better analyst and investor.
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