The resignation of Federal Reserve Vice-Chair Bar highlights the guardrails in protecting central bank independence. While Barr’s resignation from the supervision role might be politically inspired, Barr has not resigned as Fed governor. All seven gubernatorial positions are filled, and a vice-chair of the board of governors needs to be a member of the board of governors. The next term to end is Governor Kugler’s in 2026.
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2:30
Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - MAGA v DOGE
Our first episode of the year kicks off with an assessment of market activity over the past few weeks, and what to expect from markets over the near-term. We also spend time outlining expectations for Fed rate cuts in 2025, and with President-elect Trump’s inauguration only two weeks away, consider whether economic policies in Trump 2.0 will be more MAGA or DOGE. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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20:33
Jump Start - Will stocks recover from the December dip?
Will a cooling labor market reassure the Fed? Will stocks recover from the December dip? Can gold push closer to all-time highs? CIO's Christopher Swann brings you the latest on this week's market themes.
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5:26
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Taxes or tips?'
US President-elect Trump has been posting on social media in support of a single budget bill through Congress. A single bill might take longer to pass, delaying policy implementation. Trump advocated taxing US consumers of foreign goods to pay for an abolition of taxes on tips. (Tipping has been a hidden inflation force in the US, raising the cost of services without being recorded in inflation data).
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2:04
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Here we go again'
US politics intrudes into financial markets, with the US House of Representatives trying to elect a speaker today. US Speaker Johnson has been endorsed by US President-elect Trump’s influential adviser Musk, and by Trump. However, the Republicans hold a very small majority (219 to 215), and one Republican has pledged to oppose Johnson. Investors’ focus will be on what this process suggests about the ease of passing legislation in the new administration.
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